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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock $6.11, price $11.60, upside -47.3%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH0027352993

AS Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock

AEBI · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $6.11 · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +40.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.65% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.58 $9.19 Fair Value $6.11 Jul 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $9.19 – $15.58 · fair‑value band $2.30 – $6.11 · the $11.60 price screens above the $6.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally.

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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven municipal, commercial, and fleet vehicles. The company also provides heavy-duty industrial equipment, and services and support; multi-tasking airport equipment, including snow removal products and various attachment for commercial and municipal use; after-market service; pickup truck aluminum accessories; and emergency lighting and specialty vehicle upfits. In addition, it offers wireless communications, vehicle tracking solutions, and camera systems; winter road maintenance, highway construction and repair, landscaping, and hauling; truck and dump bodies, V-box and tailgate spreaders, hydraulic systems, and liquid application systems; and diesel platforms. Further, the company is involved in the manufacturing, upfitting, and distribution of truck equipment; walk-in van and truck body manufacturing and assembly; and cargo van upfitter. It provides its products under the Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, MB, Utilimaster, Magnum, Strobes-R-Us, Swenson, Meyer, MB, and Spartan RV Chassis brands. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI) currently trades at $11.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.11, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $20.56 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the $11.60 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.91, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.30 (bear) to $6.11 (bull), the price of $11.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2023, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was $9.7M in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap $959M · P/E ratio 105.5 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −47%, AEBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.30 Fair Value $6.11 Bull $6.11
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0256 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $0.9900 $1.91 $2.68 71
Residual Income $6.78 $6.17 $4.18 69
EV/EBITDA $8.95 $13.87 $18.79 66
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $6.92 $20.56 $45.87 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8500 $5.96 $8.36 57
Lynch FV $2.88 $4.12 $5.35 55
PEG = 1.0 $2.88 $4.12 $5.35 52
EPV $0.9900 $1.91 $2.68 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.98 $2.64 $3.30 63
P/S Multiple $1.60 $2.14 $2.67 58
P/B Multiple $1.60 $2.14 $2.67 55
EV/EBIT $6.22 $10.23 $14.23 64
EV/EBITDA $8.95 $13.87 $18.79 66
EV/Revenue $2.78 $6.46 $10.13 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.26 $7.04 $10.51 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.78 $6.17 $4.18 69
ROIC Compounder $0.9900 $1.91 $2.68 63
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.82 $5.45 $7.09 61

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

AEBI screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 83% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.67× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 105.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $808.01 $307.83 −62%
Deere & Company DE $703.12 $259.59 −63%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $113.90 $125.29 +10%
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €43.20 €50.31 +16%
Exor N.V EXO €71.45 €129.45 +81%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥17.72 ¥20.84 +18%
Traton SE 8TRA €35.96 €32.88 −9%
Metso Oyj METSO €18.09 €19.90 +10%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.30 ¥14.52 +99%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$36.80 HK$56.39 +53%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEBI

Frequently asked questions

Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.11 versus a price of $11.60, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEBI?
Our model-based fair value for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is $6.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.60.
What is the quality score of AEBI?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $6.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.11, about −47% upside versus a price of $11.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $6.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock pay a dividend?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock it is $6.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $11.60. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AEBI trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.60, fair value $6.11, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AEBI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.11). For Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock the two are $5.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock worth?
The market values Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock at about $959M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $11.60; our models calculate a fair value of $6.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AEBI?
Our models span a range for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock: cautious scenario $2.30, base $6.11, optimistic $6.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $11.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AEBI?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 105.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AEBI from its 52-week high?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock trades at $11.60, about 26% below its 52-week high of $15.58 and 26% above the low of $9.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $11.60, calculated fair value $6.11 (−47%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AEBI calculated?
We run Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.60. Our model-based fair value is $6.11, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($2.30 to $6.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The market capitalisation of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is $959M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Earnings per share at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 105.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The dividend yield of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 0.6% (payout 68.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The net margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 5.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
The operating margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Revenue at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is growing +82.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI)?
Earnings per share at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock are growing −82.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI) generate?
The free cash flow of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is −$5.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock (AEBI) carry?
The net debt of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock is $660M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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