Aebi Schmidt Holding (AEBI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $959M
Aebi Schmidt Holding
AEBI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +15.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (13 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range $9.19 – $15.58 · fair‑value band $3.82 – $5.45 · the $13.11 price screens above the $5.45 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Aebi Schmidt Holding (AEBI) currently trades at $13.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.45, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aebi Schmidt Holding generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 82.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at $660M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.82 (bear case) to $5.45 (bull case); at $13.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -58%, AEBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.74) versus Economic Profit ($1.91). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, …
Full company description
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven municipal, commercial, and fleet vehicles. The company also provides heavy-duty industrial equipment, and services and support; multi-tasking airport equipment, including snow removal products and various attachment for commercial and municipal use; after-market service; pickup truck aluminum accessories; and emergency lighting and specialty vehicle upfits. In addition, it offers wireless communications, vehicle tracking solutions, and camera systems; winter road maintenance, highway construction and repair, landscaping, and hauling; truck and dump bodies, V-box and tailgate spreaders, hydraulic systems, and liquid application systems; and diesel platforms. Further, the company is involved in the manufacturing, upfitting, and distribution of truck equipment; walk-in van and truck body manufacturing and assembly; and cargo van upfitter. It provides its products under the Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, MB, Utilimaster, Magnum, Strobes-R-Us, Swenson, Meyer, MB, and Spartan RV Chassis brands. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aebi Schmidt Holding reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2023, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was $9.7M in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2023.
AEBI screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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