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Data-driven stock valuation

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG stock $4.63, price $11.17, that is 58.5% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH0027352993

AS Aebi Schmidt Holding AG logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

AEBI · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +79% vs. a year ago.
Quality 40/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +40.6 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.9% dividend yield · Token dividend
Insiders bought $252,965 (6M)
Some data
Fair value $4.63 · Strongly overvalued (−58.5%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.55 $9.17 Fair Value $4.63 Jul 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range $9.17 – $15.55 · fair‑value band $1.96 – $5.77 · the $11.17 price screens above the $4.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally.

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It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven municipal, commercial, and fleet vehicles.

The company also provides heavy-duty industrial equipment, and services and support; multi-tasking airport equipment, including snow removal products and various attachment for commercial and municipal use; after-market service; pickup truck aluminum accessories; and emergency lighting and specialty vehicle upfits.

In addition, it offers wireless communications, vehicle tracking solutions, and camera systems; winter road maintenance, highway construction and repair, landscaping, and hauling; truck and dump bodies, V-box and tailgate spreaders, hydraulic systems, and liquid application systems; and diesel platforms.

Further, the company is involved in the manufacturing, upfitting, and distribution of truck equipment; walk-in van and truck body manufacturing and assembly; and cargo van upfitter.

It provides its products under the Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, MB, Utilimaster, Magnum, Strobes-R-Us, Swenson, Meyer, MB, and Spartan RV Chassis brands. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) currently trades at $11.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.63, 59% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.83 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the $11.17 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6700, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.96 (bear) to $5.77 (bull), the price of $11.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2023, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was $9.7M in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap $866M Small · P/E ratio 36.0 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) $0.3100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% (3-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −59%, AEBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.96 Fair Value $4.63 Bull $5.77
Price $11.17 · Downside -58.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1795 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $0.8600 $1.75 $2.49 70
Residual Income $6.01 $6.31 $6.79 69
EV/EBITDA $6.23 $11.14 $16.05 65
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.30 $10.83 $26.50 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8500 $5.95 $8.35 57
Lynch FV $2.88 $4.11 $5.34 55
PEG = 1.0 $2.88 $4.11 $5.34 52
EPV $0.8600 $1.75 $2.49 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.32 $2.35 $3.20 61
DDM Multi-Stage $1.32 $2.16 $2.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.98 $2.64 $3.29 63
P/S Multiple $1.60 $2.13 $2.67 58
P/B Multiple $3.35 $4.47 $5.58 55
EV/EBIT $3.50 $7.51 $11.51 62
EV/EBITDA $6.23 $11.14 $16.05 65
EV/Revenue $0.0700 $3.74 $7.41 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5000 $0.6700 $0.9900 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.01 $6.31 $6.79 69
ROIC Compounder $0.8600 $1.75 $2.49 63
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.81 $5.45 $7.08 61

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 27
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 15
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 35
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 42
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors bought shares worth $252,965, most recently on May 19, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyMarcus Andreas SchererChief Engineering2,000 shares at $12.15$24,300May 19, 2026
  • BuySteffen SchewerdaPres Vehicle Soln & CEO NA2× since Nov 21, 2025: 10,000 shares, avg. $11.18$111,800May 19, 2026
  • BuyJoel Michel MeuryPrincipal Accounting Officer500 shares at $11.30$5,650May 15, 2026
  • BuyPatrick Francois SchaubDirector2× since Dec 5, 2025: 14,000 shares, avg. $12.13$169,790May 15, 2026
  • BuyMarco PortmannGroup Chief Financial Officer2× since Nov 14, 2025: 10,000 shares, avg. $11.26$112,550May 15, 2026
  • BuyHenning SchroederCEO Europe and ROW3,000 shares at $11.30$33,900May 15, 2026
  • BuyBarend Gerrit FruithofGroup CEO, Director5,000 shares at $12.01$60,050Nov 25, 2025
  • BuyThomas SchenkirschChief Group Services6,500 shares at $10.90$70,850Nov 17, 2025

Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

AEBI screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 78.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.67× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 36.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.44× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)14 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$34.98 HK$56.97 +63% vs AEBI
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.17 ¥9.74 +36% vs AEBI
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €40.49 €49.70 +23% vs AEBI
PACCAR Inc PCAR $101.98 $114.95 +13% vs AEBI
Metso Oyj METSO €16.99 €18.69 +10% vs AEBI
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.50 ¥20.84 +7% vs AEBI
Traton SE 8TRA €33.78 €32.85 −3% vs AEBI
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $11.56 $8.65 −25% vs AEBI
Caterpillar Inc CAT $558.63 $283.68 −49% vs AEBI
Deere & Company DE $671.65 $263.46 −61% vs AEBI

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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEBI

Frequently asked questions

Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.63 versus a price of $11.17, about 59% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEBI?
Our model-based fair value for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is $4.63 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.17.
What is the quality score of AEBI?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.63 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $5.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.63, about 59% lower versus a price of $11.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $5.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock pay a dividend?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG pays a dividend of $0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 20, 2026. The payout ratio is 32.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.9% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.9% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aebi Schmidt Holding AG it is $4.63 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $11.17. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, AEBI trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.17, fair value $4.63, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AEBI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.63). For Aebi Schmidt Holding AG the two are $6.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock worth?
The market values Aebi Schmidt Holding AG at about $866M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $11.17; our models calculate a fair value of $4.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AEBI?
Our models span a range for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG: cautious scenario $1.96, base $4.63, optimistic $5.77 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $11.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AEBI?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AEBI from its 52-week high?
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG trades at $11.17, about 28% below its 52-week high of $15.55 and 21% above the low of $9.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $11.17, calculated fair value $4.63 (−59%), Quality Score 40/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AEBI calculated?
We run Aebi Schmidt Holding AG through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $4.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $11.17. Our model-based fair value is $4.63, about 59% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($1.96 to $5.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The market capitalisation of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is $866M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Earnings per share at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG are $0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The dividend yield of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 0.9% (payout 32.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The net margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 5.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
The operating margin of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Revenue at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is growing +78.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)?
Earnings per share at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG are growing −82.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) generate?
The free cash flow of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is −$5.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) carry?
The net debt of Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is $660M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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