AGES Industri AB (AGES-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 365M SEK (≈ $38.2M) · ISIN SE0005799046
What is AGES Industri AB really worth?
A solid business, trading 31% below our fair value of kr 63.76.
As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of AGES Industri AB is kr 63.76 per share against a price of kr 44.00, so the fair value sits 45% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from kr 46.45 to kr 63.76 (+37.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −6.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 47.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 33.77 – kr 99.44 · fair‑value band kr 47.82 – kr 79.70 · the kr 44.00 price screens below the kr 63.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
AGES Industri AB (AGES-B) currently trades at kr 44.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 63.76, implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 48.73 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 44.00 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 16.24, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, AGES Industri AB generated revenue of 880M SEK at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue declined 30.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at 173M SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 47.82 (bear case) to kr 79.70 (bull case); at kr 44.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at 45%, AGES-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.98 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 48.73) versus Earnings-Based (kr 16.24). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AGES Industri AB (publ) engages in the die casting, machining, tooling, welding, and assembly of precision components. The company is involved in the die casting of aluminum; machining of materials, such as stainless steel, brass, and aluminum; robot and manual welding of precision products; and component and system assembly and testing.
Full company description
AGES Industri AB (publ) engages in the die casting, machining, tooling, welding, and assembly of precision components. The company is involved in the die casting of aluminum; machining of materials, such as stainless steel, brass, and aluminum; robot and manual welding of precision products; and component and system assembly and testing. It also designs and produces casting tools. AGES Industri AB (publ) was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AGES Industri AB reported revenue of 880M SEK in FY2025 versus 1.1B SEK in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 16.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution −0.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $490.58 | $101.35 | −79% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $210.76 | $35.74 | −83% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $62.80 | $59.33 | −6% |
| Aurubis AG NDA | €178.90 | €223.43 | +25% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥9.39 | ¥3.39 | −64% |
| Commercial Metals Company CMC | $68.16 | $13.01 | −81% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | −69% |
| Viohalco S.A VIO | €16.46 | €14.98 | −9% |
| ESAB Corporation ESAB | $86.05 | $52.40 | −39% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | −58% |
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