AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AGES Industri AB (publ) stock SEK 63.76, price SEK 43.00, upside +48.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 33.77 – kr 99.44 · fair‑value band kr 47.82 – kr 79.70 · the kr 43.00 price screens below the kr 63.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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AGES Industri AB (publ) engages in the die casting, machining, tooling, welding, and assembly of precision components.
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The company is involved in the die casting of aluminum; machining of materials, such as stainless steel, brass, and aluminum; robot and manual welding of precision products; and component and system assembly and testing. It also designs and produces casting tools.
AGES Industri AB (publ) was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.
Stock analysis
AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) currently trades at kr 43.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 63.76, implying the stock looks roughly 32.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 61.08 per share, and 14 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 43.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 16.67, and 8 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 47.82 (bear) to kr 79.70 (bull), the price of kr 43.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
AGES Industri AB (publ) reported revenue of 880M SEK in FY2025 versus 1.1B SEK in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 16.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 311M SEK (≈ $31.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) kr 2.27 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at 48%, AGES-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 47.82Fair Value kr 63.76Bullkr 79.70
Price kr 43.00 · Upside +48.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 1.02 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.3% vs −12.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.2% a year for the price.
Compare AGES Industri AB (publ) with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+48.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.2% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AGES Industri AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGES-B
Frequently asked questions
Is AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 63.76 versus a price of kr 43.00, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGES-B?
Our model-based fair value for AGES Industri AB (publ) is kr 63.76 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 43.00.
What is the quality score of AGES-B?
AGES Industri AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 63.76 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 47.82, optimistic scenario kr 79.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AGES Industri AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 63.76, about +48% upside versus a price of kr 43.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 47.82, optimistic scenario kr 79.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
AGES Industri AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 881M SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does AGES Industri AB (publ) pay a dividend?
AGES Industri AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of 2.33% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AGES Industri AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by -5.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGES-B use?
Our models discount AGES Industri AB (publ) at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AGES Industri AB (publ) that is -5.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AGES Industri AB (publ) grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies -5.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AGES Industri AB (publ) (-5.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.75 %: that much free cash flow AGES Industri AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AGES Industri AB (publ) it is kr 63.76 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 43.00. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AGES Industri AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, AGES-B trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 43.00, fair value kr 63.76, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGES-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 43.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 63.76). For AGES Industri AB (publ) the two are kr 20.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AGES Industri AB (publ) worth?
The market values AGES Industri AB (publ) at about 311M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 43.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 63.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGES-B?
Our models span a range for AGES Industri AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 47.82, base kr 63.76, optimistic kr 79.70 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 43.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGES-B?
AGES Industri AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 63.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for AGES Industri AB (publ) (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGES-B from its 52-week high?
AGES Industri AB (publ) trades at kr 43.00, about 27% below its 52-week high of kr 58.79 and 13% above the low of kr 38.00 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 63.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AGES Industri AB (publ)?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AGES Industri AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 43.00, calculated fair value kr 63.76 (+48%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGES-B calculated?
We run AGES Industri AB (publ) through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 63.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. AGES Industri AB (publ) currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was kr 43.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 63.76, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AGES Industri AB (publ) right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 47.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) come from?
Earnings per share at AGES Industri AB (publ) grew −4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AGES Industri AB (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The market capitalisation of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 311M SEK (≈ $31.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Earnings per share at AGES Industri AB (publ) are kr 2.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The dividend yield of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 2.3% (payout 44.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The net margin of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 1.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
The operating margin of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Revenue at AGES Industri AB (publ) is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B)?
Earnings per share at AGES Industri AB (publ) are growing −40.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AGES Industri AB (publ) (AGES-B) carry?
The net debt of AGES Industri AB (publ) is 173M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026