AJ Lucas Group (AJL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$11.0M
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0700 to A$0.0069 (−90.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$0.0044 – A$0.0149 · fair‑value band A$0.0067 – A$0.0072 · the A$0.0070 price screens above the A$0.0069 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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AJ Lucas Group (AJL) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0069 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AJ Lucas Group generated revenue of A$137M at a net margin of 25.6%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. Net debt stands at A$120M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.3. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
AJ Lucas Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling services in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Drilling and Oil and Gas Operations. The Drilling segment provides integrated professional drilling services primarily for exploration and degasification of coal mines, including recovery and commercialization of coal seam gas and associated services. The Oil and Gas Operations segment engages in the exploration and development of unconventional and conventional hydrocarbons in the United Kingdom. The company also offers engineering services, such as design of wells, drilling optimisation, and professional steering services, as well as specialised equipment for directional drilling programmes. It serves the energy, mining, and infrastructure sectors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. AJ Lucas Group Limited is a subsidiary of Kerogen Investments No. 1 (HK) Limited.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AJ Lucas Group reported revenue of A$146M in FY2025 versus A$111M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$15.0M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.