AKI India Ltd (AKI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹498M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −12.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.9231 – ₹32.44 · fair‑value band ₹2.85 – ₹4.06 · the ₹4.21 price screens above the ₹4.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
AKI India Ltd (AKI) currently trades at ₹4.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.06, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, AKI India Ltd generated revenue of ₹1.1B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 52.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at ₹168M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹2.85 (bear case) to ₹4.06 (bull case); at ₹4.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -3%, AKI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹6.51) versus Multiples (₹3.19). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AKI India Limited, together with its subsidiary, AKI UK Limited, designs, manufactures, and sells leather and leather goods in India and internationally. The company offers leather accessories; leather belts for men and women; leather duffel and small tote bags, as well as large briefcases and men's backpacks; and leather wallets and card holders.
Full company description
AKI India Limited, together with its subsidiary, AKI UK Limited, designs, manufactures, and sells leather and leather goods in India and internationally. The company offers leather accessories; leather belts for men and women; leather duffel and small tote bags, as well as large briefcases and men's backpacks; and leather wallets and card holders. It also provides leather shoes comprising formal, riding, deck, casual, and canvas shoes, as well as countryside boots; and pet accessories consisting of dog toys, collars, and leads. In addition, the company offers finished leather products, such as bag, upholstery, footwear, and belt leather, as well as washable nubucks; and equestrian products comprising horse covers, bridles, rugs, stirrup leather, halters, girths, nosebands, and harness sets. Further, it distributes leather chemicals. The company exports its products. AKI India Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Kanpur, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
AKI India Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.1B in FY2026 versus ₹609M in FY2022, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.3M in FY2026, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $40.51 | $35.63 | -12% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €158.15 | €65.71 | -58% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $93.84 | $125.16 | +33% |
| On Holding ONON | $30.91 | $17.53 | -43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.81 | ¥13.03 | +10% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $36.74 | $44.59 | +21% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $130.61 | $203.65 | +56% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥36.73 | ¥51.36 | +40% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.69 | €10.57 | -60% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.64 | HK$4.04 | -70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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