Alicon Castalloy Limited (ALICON) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹10.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹553.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹405.17 – ₹1,494 · fair‑value band ₹332.00 – ₹553.34 · the ₹672.35 price screens above the ₹442.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Alicon Castalloy Limited (ALICON) currently trades at ₹672.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹442.67, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alicon Castalloy Limited generated revenue of ₹17.8B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at ₹3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹332.00 (bear case) to ₹553.34 (bull case); at ₹672.35, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -34%, ALICON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹914.23) versus Dividend Discount (₹88.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alicon Castalloy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminium castings in India. It offers 2 and 4-wheelers, fully finished, diesel, and petrol cylinder heads; transcradle, inlet pipe, cac tank, battery tray, motor stator, top yoke/bridge fork top, enclosure body, inverter casing, cooling/junction box, transmission and crank …
Full company description
Alicon Castalloy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminium castings in India. It offers 2 and 4-wheelers, fully finished, diesel, and petrol cylinder heads; transcradle, inlet pipe, cac tank, battery tray, motor stator, top yoke/bridge fork top, enclosure body, inverter casing, cooling/junction box, transmission and crank cases, e-axle, and HCV coolant collector products, as well as controller, compressor, motor, distributor, and roof sensor housing parts. The company also exports its products to approximately 18 countries. It serves automotive and e-mobility industries; and non-automotive industry, such as internal combustion engine, infrastructure, defence, medical, energy, agriculture, and aerospace. The company was formerly known as Enkei Castalloy Limited and changed its name to Alicon Castalloy Limited in December 2010. Alicon Castalloy Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Pune, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Alicon Castalloy Limited reported revenue of ₹17.8B in FY2026 versus ₹10.8B in FY2022, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹344M in FY2026, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2022.
ALICON screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥55.43 | ¥8.07 | -85% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.13 | ¥1.35 | -57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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