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Alkali Metals Limited (ALKALI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹856M

AM Alkali Metals Limited ALKALI · NSE
Price₹68.18
Fair Value₹13.23
Upside-80.6%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.17% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ₹9.93 – ₹16.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹9.29 to ₹13.23 (+42.4%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −18.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹16.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹166.31 ₹46.75 Fair Value ₹13.23 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹46.75 – ₹166.31 · fair‑value band ₹9.93 – ₹16.54 · the ₹68.18 price screens above the ₹13.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Alkali Metals Limited (ALKALI) currently trades at ₹68.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.23, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alkali Metals Limited generated revenue of ₹930M at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at ₹169M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹9.93 (bear case) to ₹16.54 (bull case); at ₹68.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -81%, ALKALI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹6.83 ₹8.43 ₹10.55 80
Residual Income ₹28.63 ₹26.69 ₹18.28 76
ROIC Compounder ₹19.98 ₹22.57 ₹24.73 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹6.70 ₹8.41 ₹10.80 38
Owner Earnings ₹27.29 ₹35.14 ₹46.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹26.53 ₹43.52 ₹65.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹31.80 ₹52.63 ₹77.45 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹6.88 ₹9.58 ₹12.42 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹16.85 ₹29.46 ₹44.84 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹20.84 ₹35.01 ₹52.09 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹6.75 ₹8.82 ₹10.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹3.72 ₹7.19 ₹8.99 54
EPV ₹19.98 ₹22.57 ₹24.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹3.88 ₹5.11 ₹6.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹3.88 ₹5.12 ₹6.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹6.97 ₹9.29 ₹11.61 63
P/S Multiple ₹6.97 ₹9.29 ₹11.61 58
P/B Multiple ₹6.97 ₹9.29 ₹11.61 55
EV/EBIT ₹50.87 ₹67.50 ₹84.13 53
EV/EBITDA ₹57.87 ₹76.84 ₹95.80 54
EV/Revenue ₹44.22 ₹62.75 ₹81.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹21.94 ₹29.41 ₹43.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹6.83 ₹8.43 ₹10.55 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹28.63 ₹26.69 ₹18.28 76
ROIC Compounder ₹19.98 ₹22.57 ₹24.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹5.06 ₹7.23 ₹9.40 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹29.46) versus Dividend Discount (₹5.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹930M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.5%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 1.3%
Free cash flow ₹6.8M FY2026
P/E ratio 152.8
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.5500
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.9%
Net debt ₹169M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alkali Metals Limited manufactures and sells chemicals in India and internationally. The company offers API products, including benzocaine, fluconazole, loperamide hydrochloride, losartan potassium, metformin hydrochloride, phenylephrine hydrochloride, and rabeprazole sodium.

Full company description

Alkali Metals Limited manufactures and sells chemicals in India and internationally. The company offers API products, including benzocaine, fluconazole, loperamide hydrochloride, losartan potassium, metformin hydrochloride, phenylephrine hydrochloride, and rabeprazole sodium. It also provides pyridine, acetylpyridine, alkyl borate, aminopyridine, bipyridine, bromopyridine, chloropyridine, cyanopyridine, cyclic, diethylamino pyridine, ethoxypyridine, fluoropyridine, hydroxypyridine, methoxypyridine, nitropyridine, picolylalcohol, pyridine n-oxide, pyrimidine, quinoline, tetrazole, and triazole compounds; azaindole, potassium, sodium, and other metal derivatives; boronic acids, and DSSC and OLED materials; and organic, inorganic, and fine chemicals. The company's products are used in pharma intermediates, anti retrovirals, flu vaccines, antibiotics, cardio/anti inflammation, agrochemicals, and automobiles applications. Alkali Metals Limited was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alkali Metals Limited reported revenue of ₹930M in FY2026 versus ₹910M in FY2022, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.6M in FY2026, compounding −36.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹930M
Latest YoY
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Revenue +0.5%/yr
FY22 ₹910M
FY23 ₹882M
FY24 ₹829M
FY25 ₹823M
FY26 ₹930M
Net income −36.8%/yr
FY22 ₹34.8M
FY23 ₹29.1M
FY24 ₹11.3M
FY25 −₹58.0M
FY26 ₹5.6M

ALKALI screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alkali Metals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALKALI

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 674 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 152.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 78 · sector 19
PAST 5 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alkali Metals Limited (ALKALI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.23 versus a price of ₹68.18, about −81% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALKALI?
Our model-based fair value for Alkali Metals Limited is ₹13.23 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹68.18.
What is the quality score of ALKALI?
Alkali Metals Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alkali Metals Limited (ALKALI)?
Alkali Metals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹930M (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALKALI?
The net profit margin of Alkali Metals Limited is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alkali Metals Limited pay a dividend?
Alkali Metals Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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