Alma Media Oyj (ALMA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · FI · Market cap €1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from €10.19 to €10.16 (−0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (€7.32 to €13.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.73 – €15.21 · fair‑value band €7.32 – €13.92 · the €13.50 price screens above the €10.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Alma Media Oyj (ALMA) currently trades at €13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.16, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alma Media Oyj generated revenue of €331M at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. Net debt stands at €152M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €7.32 (bear case) to €13.92 (bull case); at €13.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -25%, ALMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€11.44) versus Asset-Based (€2.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alma Media Oyj, a media company, engages in digital services and journalistic media content in Finland, Sweden, Baltics, Croatia, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic. It operates through Alma Career, Alma Marketplaces, and Alma News Media segments. The company offers recruitment-related services through Jobs.cz, Prace.cz, CV-Online, Profesia.sk, MojPosao.
Full company description
Alma Media Oyj, a media company, engages in digital services and journalistic media content in Finland, Sweden, Baltics, Croatia, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic. It operates through Alma Career, Alma Marketplaces, and Alma News Media segments. The company offers recruitment-related services through Jobs.cz, Prace.cz, CV-Online, Profesia.sk, MojPosao. net, MojPosao.ba, and Jobly, as well as Seduo online training service and Prace za rohem; and provision of job advertising-related technology, and digital staffing services and training. It also provides Etuovi.com, a housing market-place; Jobly; Vuokraovi.com and Objektvision, a housing rental marketplace; automotive marketplaces Nettiauto, Autotalli.com, and Nettimoto, as well as sales systems that serve companies in the housing and automotive verticals; comparison services under the Autojerry, Urakkamaailma, and Etua brands; and various services related to company information, and real estate information and law to professionals. In addition, the company offers Iltalehti, digital news media; Kauppalehti, financial news media; and other journalistic news media under the Talouselämä, Tekniikka&Talous, and Arvopaperi names. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alma Media Oyj reported revenue of €327M in FY2025 versus €275M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was €55.4M in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.
ALMA screens 25% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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