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Alto Ingredients, Inc (ALTO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $384M

Price$5.11
Fair Value$2.41
Upside-52.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1.81 – $3.01

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Alto Ingredients, Inc (ALTO) currently trades at $5.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.41 — implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets specialty alcohols, renewable fuel, and essential ingredients in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Campus Production, and Western Production. It offers specialty alcohols used in mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners for health, home, and beauty markets; grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages and vinegar, as well as corn germ used in corn oils in the food and beverage markets; alcohols and other products for paint applications and fertilizers in the industrial and agriculture markets; and essential ingredients, including dried yeast, corn protein meal, corn protein feed, corn germ, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food applications, as well as yeast and gas liquid CO2 for human consumption. The company also provides fuel-grade ethanol used as transportation fuel additives and…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alto Ingredients, Inc (ALTO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.41 versus a price of $5.11 — about −53% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ALTO?
Our 21-model fair value for Alto Ingredients, Inc is $2.41 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.11.
What is the quality score of ALTO?
Alto Ingredients, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.