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Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $135M

Price$1.80
Fair Value$0.6500
Upside-63.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.4100 – $0.8200

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) currently trades at $1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6500 — implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. The company operates through California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel segments. It engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. The company also produces and sells ethanol; wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles to dairies and feedlots as animal feed; and distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin products. In addition, it produces biogas from dairy waste. Aemetis, Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6500 versus a price of $1.80 — about −64% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AMTX?
Our 21-model fair value for Aemetis, Inc is $0.6500 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.80.
What is the quality score of AMTX?
Aemetis, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.