Aperam PK (APEMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Aperam PK $32.94, price $53.00, upside -37.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.70 – $61.65 · fair‑value band $28.66 – $32.94 · the $53.00 price screens above the $32.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Aperam S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells stainless steel and alloy products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Stainless & Electrical Steel; Services & Solutions; Alloys & Specialties; and Recycling & Renewables.
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Aperam S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells stainless steel and alloy products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Stainless & Electrical Steel; Services & Solutions; Alloys & Specialties; and Recycling & Renewables. The company offers a range of stainless steel, flat stainless and electrical steel, and special carbon products. It also produces specialty grades alloys and specialties. In addition, the company engages in tubes business, as well as provision of value added and customized steel solutions. Further, it collects, trades, processes, and recycles stainless steel scrap and high-performance alloys. The company serves aerospace, automotive, construction, medical, and oil and gas industries. It distributes its products through a network of steel service centers, transformation facilities, and sales offices. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Stock analysis
Aperam PK (APEMY) currently trades at $53.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.94, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $29.58 per share, and 0 of the 20 models we run sit above the $53.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $12.02, and 20 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $28.66 (bear) to $32.94 (bull), the price of $53.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Aperam PK reported revenue of €6.1B in FY2025 versus €5.1B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was €9.0M in FY2025, compounding −68.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.3B · P/E ratio 110.4 · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) $0.4800 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −38%, APEMY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $28.66Fair Value $32.94Bull $32.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3511 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−40.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−43.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−44% vs −24%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.2% a year for the price and +6.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (85 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 415 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)110.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF15.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA28.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.74× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)64· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aperam PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APEMY
Frequently asked questions
Is Aperam PK (APEMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.94 versus a price of $53.00, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APEMY?
Our model-based fair value for Aperam PK is $32.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $53.00.
What is the quality score of APEMY?
Aperam PK has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $32.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $28.66, optimistic scenario $32.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aperam PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $32.94, about −38% upside versus a price of $53.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $28.66, optimistic scenario $32.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Aperam PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aperam PK pay a dividend?
Aperam PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aperam PK (APEMY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aperam PK would have to grow free cash flow by +9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of APEMY use?
Our models discount Aperam PK at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.81, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aperam PK that is +9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aperam PK (APEMY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aperam PK grew +10.9 % a year. The price currently implies +9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aperam PK (APEMY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aperam PK (+9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.05 %: that much free cash flow Aperam PK produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aperam PK it is $32.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $53.00. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aperam PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, APEMY trades above its calculated fair value: price $53.00, fair value $32.94, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of APEMY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($53.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($32.94). For Aperam PK the two are $20.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aperam PK worth?
The market values Aperam PK at about $4.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $53.00; our models calculate a fair value of $32.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about APEMY?
Our models span a range for Aperam PK: cautious scenario $28.66, base $32.94, optimistic $32.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $53.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of APEMY?
Aperam PK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 110.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $32.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 28.6.
What is the PEG ratio of APEMY?
The PEG ratio of Aperam PK is 0.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aperam PK (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is APEMY from its 52-week high?
Aperam PK trades at $53.00, about 14% below its 52-week high of $61.65 and 70% above the low of $31.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $32.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aperam PK?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aperam PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $53.00, calculated fair value $32.94 (−38%), Quality Score 53/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of APEMY calculated?
We run Aperam PK through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $32.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Aperam PK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $53.00. Our model-based fair value is $32.94, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aperam PK right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($32.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band ($28.66 to $32.94), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Aperam PK
How large is the market capitalisation of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The market capitalisation of Aperam PK is $4.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aperam PK is 0.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Earnings per share at Aperam PK are $0.4800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 110.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The dividend yield of Aperam PK is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The net margin of Aperam PK is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aperam PK is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aperam PK is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aperam PK (APEMY)?
The operating margin of Aperam PK is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Revenue at Aperam PK is growing −5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aperam PK (APEMY)?
Earnings per share at Aperam PK are growing +139% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aperam PK (APEMY) carry?
The net debt of Aperam PK is €978M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026