APL Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹498B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +8.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,597). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹552.45 to ₹1,597). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹584.46 – ₹2,281 · fair‑value band ₹552.45 – ₹1,597 · the ₹1,970 price screens above the ₹736.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
APL Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) currently trades at ₹1,970, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹736.60, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, APL Apollo Tubes Limited generated revenue of ₹231B at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹552.45 (bear case) to ₹1,597 (bull case); at ₹1,970, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -63%, APLAPOLLO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,373) versus Dividend Discount (₹98.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
APL Apollo Tubes Limited manufactures and sells structural steel tubes in India. The company offers structural tubes for construction, automotive, machinery, furniture, etc.
Full company description
APL Apollo Tubes Limited manufactures and sells structural steel tubes in India. The company offers structural tubes for construction, automotive, machinery, furniture, etc. applications; galvanized iron products for industrial and agricultural applications; tricoat pipes, designer pipes, and door frames; black round tubes used in plumbing systems of buildings; pre galvanized sections of square, rectangular, and circular tubes used for roofing structure; and ready-made and color coated chaukhat, steel building, and fencing solutions. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Bihar Tubes Limited and changed its name to APL Apollo Tubes Limited in 2010. APL Apollo Tubes Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Noida, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
APL Apollo Tubes Limited reported revenue of ₹231B in FY2026 versus ₹126B in FY2022, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹12.0B in FY2026, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2022.
APLAPOLLO screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.04 | kr 72.43 | -25% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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