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Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Digital Turbine Inc $4.93, price $11.54, upside -57.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US25400W1027

DT Digital Turbine Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Digital Turbine Inc

APPS · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $4.93 · Strongly overvalued (−57%)
!Quality 38/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $2.59 to $9.11
!Weak on balance sheet: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$91.40 $1.21 Fair Value $4.93 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.21 – $91.40 · fair‑value band $2.59 – $9.11 · the $11.54 price screens above the $4.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform.

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Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform. The company's application media platform delivers apps to end users through partnerships with wireless carriers and OEMs; and content media platform offers news, weather, sports, and other content, as well as programmatic advertising partner and media content delivery services, and sponsored and editorial content media. It also provides direct campaign management products, such as the DT DSP and DT Offer Wall; ad monetization solutions that allow mobile app publishers and developers to monetize their monthly active users via display, native, and video advertising; brands and agencies, which run mobile brand-awareness campaigns on the direct mobile app inventory; and app developers and other performance-focused advertisers that execute mobile user acquisition campaigns for their apps and products. Its products and solutions are used in the mobile application ecosystem, enabling brand discovery and advertising, user acquisition and engagement, and operational efficiency for advertisers. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, China, Mexico, Central America, and South America. Digital Turbine, Inc. is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Stock analysis

Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) currently trades at $11.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.93, implying the stock looks roughly 134.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.06 per share, and 3 of the 12 models we run sit above the $11.54 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.07, and 9 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.59 (bear) to $9.11 (bull), the price of $11.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Digital Turbine Inc reported revenue of $565M in FY2026 versus $748M in FY2022, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$37.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $1.3B · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3300 · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.2% · Operating margin 7.4% · Revenue (TTM) $565M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 309% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −57%, APPS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.59 Fair Value $4.93 Bull $9.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.01 $7.06 $16.17 74
Growth DCF $3.59 $8.12 $15.22 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.66 $16.34 $33.39 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.01 $7.06 $16.17 74
Owner Earnings $2.73 $8.47 $19.13 69
5Y Revenue Exit $1.41 $3.72 $8.50 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.66 $16.34 $33.39 70
10Y Revenue Exit $2.21 $6.47 $8.73 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.48 $18.74 $40.48 62
Multiples
EV/EBIT $2.46 $4.15 $5.85 64
EV/EBITDA $9.18 $13.12 $17.05 67
EV/Revenue n/a $1.05 $2.15 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8000 $1.07 $1.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.59 $8.12 $15.22 74
Rev-Margin DCF $1.70 $4.64 $10.64 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.3% (2021) → 6.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+62.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.3% a year for the price.

APPS screens 134% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.78× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 116.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.69× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)98 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)8 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Digital Turbine Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APPS

Frequently asked questions

Is Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.93 versus a price of $11.54, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APPS?
Our model-based fair value for Digital Turbine Inc is $4.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.54.
What is the quality score of APPS?
Digital Turbine Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.59, optimistic scenario $9.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Digital Turbine Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.93, about −57% upside versus a price of $11.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.59, optimistic scenario $9.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Digital Turbine Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $565M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Digital Turbine Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +62.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of APPS use?
Our models discount Digital Turbine Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Digital Turbine Inc that is +62.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Digital Turbine Inc grew -5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +62.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Digital Turbine Inc (+62.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.86 %: that much free cash flow Digital Turbine Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Digital Turbine Inc it is $4.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $11.54. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Digital Turbine Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, APPS trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.54, fair value $4.93, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of APPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.93). For Digital Turbine Inc the two are $6.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Digital Turbine Inc worth?
The market values Digital Turbine Inc at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $11.54; our models calculate a fair value of $4.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about APPS?
Our models span a range for Digital Turbine Inc: cautious scenario $2.59, base $4.93, optimistic $9.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $11.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of APPS?
The PEG ratio of Digital Turbine Inc is 0.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Digital Turbine Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −21.8%, debt of 1.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is APPS from its 52-week high?
Digital Turbine Inc trades at $11.54, about 20% below its 52-week high of $14.39 and 309% above the low of $2.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Digital Turbine Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Digital Turbine Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $11.54, calculated fair value $4.93 (−57%), Quality Score 38/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of APPS calculated?
We run Digital Turbine Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Digital Turbine Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.54. Our model-based fair value is $4.93, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Digital Turbine Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($2.59 to $9.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Digital Turbine Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The market capitalisation of Digital Turbine Inc is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Digital Turbine Inc is 1.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Earnings per share at Digital Turbine Inc are $−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The net margin of Digital Turbine Inc is −6.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Digital Turbine Inc is −21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Digital Turbine Inc is −7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
The operating margin of Digital Turbine Inc is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Revenue at Digital Turbine Inc is growing +19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Digital Turbine Inc (APPS)?
Earnings per share at Digital Turbine Inc are growing −42.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Digital Turbine Inc (APPS) carry?
The net debt of Digital Turbine Inc is $331M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 29.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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