Digital Turbine, Inc (APPS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.0B
Digital Turbine, Inc
APPS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $4.78 to $2.34 (−51.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +36.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.21 – $91.40 · fair‑value band $2.34 – $3.61 · the $14.34 price screens above the $2.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Digital Turbine, Inc (APPS) currently trades at $14.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.34, implying the stock looks roughly 83.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Digital Turbine, Inc generated revenue of $565M at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.8%. Net debt stands at $331M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.34 (bear case) to $3.61 (bull case); at $14.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -84%, APPS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.46) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform.
Full company description
Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform. The company's application media platform delivers apps to end users through partnerships with wireless carriers and OEMs; and content media platform offers news, weather, sports, and other content, as well as programmatic advertising partner and media content delivery services, and sponsored and editorial content media. It also provides direct campaign management products, such as the DT DSP and DT Offer Wall; ad monetization solutions that allow mobile app publishers and developers to monetize their monthly active users via display, native, and video advertising; brands and agencies, which run mobile brand-awareness campaigns on the direct mobile app inventory; and app developers and other performance-focused advertisers that execute mobile user acquisition campaigns for their apps and products. Its products and solutions are used in the mobile application ecosystem, enabling brand discovery and advertising, user acquisition and engagement, and operational efficiency for advertisers. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, China, Mexico, Central America, and South America. Digital Turbine, Inc. is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Digital Turbine, Inc reported revenue of $565M in FY2026 versus $748M in FY2022, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$37.7M in FY2026.
APPS screens 84% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Digital Turbine (APPS) Stock Outpacing Its Computer and Technology Peers This Year?
- Digital Turbine's AI Platform Boosts Advertiser Returns & Growth
- APPS Tops Q1 Earnings & Revenue Estimates, Raises Fiscal 2027 Guidance
- Digital Turbine Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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