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Archon Corporation (ARHN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Archon Corporation $5.63, price $6.00, upside -6.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US03957P1012

AC Archon Corporation logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Archon Corporation

ARHN · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $5.63 · Fairly valued (−6.2%)
!Quality 38/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $3.18 to $9.97
!Weak on valuation: 25 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$22.00 $6.00 Fair Value $5.63 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.00 – $22.00 · fair‑value band $3.18 – $9.97 · the $6.00 price screens above the $5.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Archon Corporation, through its subsidiary, Pioneer Hotel Inc., engages in the ownership, management, and operation of casinos and hotels in the United States. It operates the Pioneer Hotel & Gambling Hall (the Pioneer) in Laughlin, Nevada that consists of a casino.

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Archon Corporation, through its subsidiary, Pioneer Hotel Inc., engages in the ownership, management, and operation of casinos and hotels in the United States. It operates the Pioneer Hotel & Gambling Hall (the Pioneer) in Laughlin, Nevada that consists of a casino. The company also owns real estate properties on Las Vegas Boulevard South in Las Vegas, Nevada; and rental properties that include commercial office space in Dorchester, Massachusetts. The company is based in Laughlin, Nevada.

Stock analysis

Archon Corporation (ARHN) currently trades at $6.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.63, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.6%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.23 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $6.00 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.25, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.18 (bear) to $9.97 (bull), the price of $6.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Archon Corporation reported revenue of $23.5M in FY2010 versus $45.2M in FY2006, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1M in FY2010.

Key figures

Market cap $46.3M · P/S ratio 2.09 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0900 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −1.9% · Revenue (TTM) $22.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −6%, ARHN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.18 Fair Value $5.63 Bull $9.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $4.29 $7.23 $12.50 74
EV/EBITDA $1.50 $3.25 $4.99 63
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $0.2900 61
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.29 $7.23 $12.50 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $0.2900 61
EV/EBITDA $1.50 $3.25 $4.99 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.44 $5.95 $8.88 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.8% (2005) → 4.4% (2010)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2010 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 68 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −6.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −19.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 31.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)25 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $38.78 $55.26 +42%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$31.70 HK$46.74 +47%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$11.91 HK$18.87 +58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $81.12 $147.69 +82%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $32.58 $18.04 −45%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.59 $80.89 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6150 SGD 0.5600 SGD −9%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $50.76 $31.15 −39%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $71.23 $130.75 +84%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $136.11 $152.57 +12%

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Archon Corporation · Fair Value
$5.63 −6%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archon Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARHN

Frequently asked questions

Is Archon Corporation (ARHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.63 versus a price of $6.00, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ARHN?
Our model-based fair value for Archon Corporation is $5.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.00.
What is the quality score of ARHN?
Archon Corporation has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.18, optimistic scenario $9.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archon Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.63, about −6% upside versus a price of $6.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.18, optimistic scenario $9.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Archon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archon Corporation it is $5.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.00. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Archon Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ARHN trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.00, fair value $5.63, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARHN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.63). For Archon Corporation the two are $0.3700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archon Corporation worth?
The market values Archon Corporation at about $46.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.00; our models calculate a fair value of $5.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARHN?
Our models span a range for Archon Corporation: cautious scenario $3.18, base $5.63, optimistic $9.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archon Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.9%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARHN from its 52-week high?
Archon Corporation trades at $6.00, about 53% below its 52-week high of $12.75 and at the low of $6.00 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archon Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archon Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.00, calculated fair value $5.63 (−6%), Quality Score 38/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARHN calculated?
We run Archon Corporation through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Archon Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $6.00. Our model-based fair value is $5.63, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archon Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($3.18 to $9.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of Archon Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The market capitalisation of Archon Corporation is $46.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Archon Corporation is 2.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Earnings per share at Archon Corporation are $−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The net margin of Archon Corporation is −4.8% (fiscal year 2010). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archon Corporation is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archon Corporation is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
The operating margin of Archon Corporation is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Revenue at Archon Corporation is growing −19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Archon Corporation (ARHN)?
Earnings per share at Archon Corporation are growing −67.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Archon Corporation (ARHN) generate?
The free cash flow of Archon Corporation is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2010). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Archon Corporation (ARHN) carry?
The net debt of Archon Corporation is $63.7M (fiscal year 2010). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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