Arla Plast AB (ARPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 793M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from kr 72.50 to kr 60.90 (−16.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 45.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 27.83 – kr 62.58 · fair‑value band kr 45.68 – kr 76.13 · the kr 40.55 price screens below the kr 60.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Arla Plast AB (ARPL) currently trades at kr 40.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 60.90, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arla Plast AB generated revenue of 1.4B SEK at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 41.7M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 45.68 (bear case) to kr 76.13 (bull case); at kr 40.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 50%, ARPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 107.30) versus Dividend Discount (kr 19.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arla Plast AB, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and distributes extruded plastic sheets in Sweden, Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland, rest of Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Arla Plast AB, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and distributes extruded plastic sheets in Sweden, Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland, rest of Europe, and internationally. It offers TPC (transparent polycarbonate) used to manufacture machine guards, noise protection, and optical products; OPC (opaque polycarbonate) for protection and details for industry, suitcases, and packaging solutions; and MWPC (multiwall polycarbonate) to manufacture pool roofs, greenhouses, and various roofs for sports arenas and train stations. The company provides PETG (polyethylene terephthalate glycol-modified) used to make shop fittings, wall coverings, and food-related products; ABS (acrylonitrile butadiene styrene) to manufacture interior and exterior vehicle parts and packaging; and PMMA (polymethyl methacrylate) for outdoor applications and shop fittings. The company's products are used in personal protection, machine protection, ice hockey rinks, vehicle parts, sound barriers and greenhouses. Arla Plast AB was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Borensberg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arla Plast AB reported revenue of kr 1.4B in FY2025 versus kr 927M in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 88.3M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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