Ascencio SA (ASCE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · BE · Market cap €358M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €63.24 to €60.39 (−4.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€44.02 to €86.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €32.50 – €53.30 · fair‑value band €44.02 – €86.15 · the €52.50 price screens below the €60.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Ascencio SA (ASCE) currently trades at €52.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €60.39, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ascencio SA generated revenue of €62.3M at a net margin of 58.6%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at €294M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €44.02 (bear case) to €86.15 (bull case); at €52.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 15%, ASCE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€71.09) versus Asset-Based (€43.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ascencio SA is a company incorporated under Belgian law, specializing in real estate investment commercial, and more particularly supermarkets and retail parks. The Company is present in Belgium, France and Spain, respectively under the statuses of SIR, SIIC and SOCIMI.
Full company description
Ascencio SA is a company incorporated under Belgian law, specializing in real estate investment commercial, and more particularly supermarkets and retail parks. The Company is present in Belgium, France and Spain, respectively under the statuses of SIR, SIIC and SOCIMI. With its multidisciplinary team, it manages its assets and its relationships with its retail tenants by adopting a responsible attitude, particularly in terms of sustainability. The fair value of his portfolio is approximately 770 million euros spread across nearly 100 real estate assets with a total surface area of approximately 450,000 m, generating rental income of around 54 million euros per year. Ascencio SA is listed on Euronext Brussels. Its market capitalization was 350 million euros as of December 31, 2025. Ascencio SA was incorporated in 2006 in Belgium.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ascencio SA reported revenue of €62.4M in FY2025 versus €53.2M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €35.6M in FY2025, compounding −6.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $229.78 | $86.11 | -63% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $65.60 | $30.71 | -53% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.65 | €101.67 | -2% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $26.10 | $12.60 | -52% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.47 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | -63% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.93 | A$3.34 | -15% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $82.15 | $33.69 | -59% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.22 | HK$41.98 | +7% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $126.08 | $41.96 | -67% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $32.44 | $13.18 | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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