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Actelis Networks, Inc (ASNS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.9M

AN Actelis Networks, Inc logo Actelis Networks, Inc ASNS · US
Price$0.0430
Fair Value$0.1020
Upside+137.2%
Quality22/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0727 – $0.1202 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −43.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 137% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (22/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0727). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$240.00 $0.0420 Fair Value $0.1020 May 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range $0.0420 – $240.00 · fair‑value band $0.0727 – $0.1202 · the $0.0430 price screens below the $0.1020 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Actelis Networks, Inc (ASNS) currently trades at $0.0430, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 137.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.9M. Revenue grew 32.9% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0727 (bear case) to $0.1202 (bull case); at $0.0430, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 137%, ASNS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1900 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1900 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.9%
Net margin -227%
Return on equity -163%
Free cash flow −$7.7M FY2025
Operating margin -194%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-3.66
Net cash $3.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Actelis Networks, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of cyber-hardened and hybrid fiber networking solutions for IoT and telecommunication governmental agencies and companies in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Actelis Networks, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of cyber-hardened and hybrid fiber networking solutions for IoT and telecommunication governmental agencies and companies in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers access broadband equipment for copper and fiber networks; and rapid-deployment networking solutions for wide-area IoT applications, including federal and military, state and local governments, intelligent traffic systems, utilities, rail, telecom, and campus applications. It also provides switching devices; ethernet access devices; network aggregators; broadband amplifiers; repeaters; enclosures; MetaShield, a SaaS AI based cyber-security and operational continuity monitoring and mitigation software platform; and Advanced MetaLIGHT/Gigaline element management systems software, which enables remote management, monitoring, maintenance, and configuration of the installed equipment in the network. In addition, the company offers dynamic spectral software; and support and maintenance services, including telephone troubleshooting and remote support, training, product repairs, and software updates. It serves end users, system integrators, distributors, contractors, resellers, and consultants. Actelis Networks, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Actelis Networks, Inc reported revenue of $3.7M in FY2025 versus $8.5M in FY2021, a compound −19.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.7M
Latest YoY
−52.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.5%
Revenue −19.0%/yr
FY21 $8.5M
FY22 $8.8M
FY23 $5.6M
FY24 $7.8M
FY25 $3.7M
Net income
FY21 −$5.3M
FY22 −$11.0M
FY23 −$6.3M
FY24 −$4.4M
FY25 −$8.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Actelis Networks, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASNS

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 286 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +137% · Top 25%
Return on assets -45% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -194% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Actelis Networks, Inc (ASNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1020 versus a price of $0.0430, about +137% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASNS?
Our model-based fair value for Actelis Networks, Inc is $0.1020 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0430.
What is the quality score of ASNS?
Actelis Networks, Inc has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Actelis Networks, Inc (ASNS)?
Actelis Networks, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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