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ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of ATOM EDUC ON BRL 0.24, price BRL 1.10, upside -78.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · BR

AE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

ATOM EDUC ON

ATED3 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$0.2400 · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.3% net margin (FY2025)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$2.51 R$0.9300 Fair Value R$0.2400 Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range R$0.9300 – R$2.51 · fair‑value band R$0.1600 – R$0.3100 · the R$1.10 price screens above the R$0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Atom Educação E Editora S.A. focuses on publishing and editing of books, magazines, and educational contents in the financial market.

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Atom Educação E Editora S.A. focuses on publishing and editing of books, magazines, and educational contents in the financial market. It also provides training services for professional development and equity management; and publishes and develops educational materials for financial education and markets, investments, and stock exchange operations, as well as professional development, such as entrepreneurship; and preparation of public examinations. In addition, the company offers investment services in public and private debt securities; and day trading operation services. It distributes education courses through franchises. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Sorocaba, Brazil. Atom Educação E Editora S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Atom Empreendimentos e Participações S.A.

Stock analysis

ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3) currently trades at R$1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 358.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 77/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: R$0.1600 (bear) to R$0.3100 (bull), the price of R$1.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

ATOM EDUC ON reported revenue of R$26.5M in FY2025 versus R$35.9M in FY2022, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −R$4.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$37.9M (≈ $7.4M) · EPS (TTM) R$−0.2100 · Net margin −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Free cash flow −R$825K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −78%, ATED3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$0.1600 Fair Value R$0.2400 Bull R$0.3100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) R$0.3900 R$0.5300 R$0.7900 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$0.3900 R$0.5300 R$0.7900 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.8% (2022) → −11.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ATED3 screens 358% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ATOM EDUC ON Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATED3

Frequently asked questions

Is ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$0.2400 versus a price of R$1.10, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATED3?
Our model-based fair value for ATOM EDUC ON is R$0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$1.10.
What is the quality score of ATED3?
ATOM EDUC ON has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$0.1600, optimistic scenario R$0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ATOM EDUC ON stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$0.2400, about −78% upside versus a price of R$1.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$0.1600, optimistic scenario R$0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ATOM EDUC ON it is R$0.2400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$1.10. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ATOM EDUC ON stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ATED3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$1.10, fair value R$0.2400, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATED3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$1.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$0.2400). For ATOM EDUC ON the two are R$0.8600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ATOM EDUC ON worth?
The market values ATOM EDUC ON at about R$37.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$1.10; our models calculate a fair value of R$0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATED3?
Our models span a range for ATOM EDUC ON: cautious scenario R$0.1600, base R$0.2400, optimistic R$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$1.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is ATED3 from its 52-week high?
ATOM EDUC ON trades at R$1.10, about 56% below its 52-week high of R$2.51 and at the low of R$1.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ATOM EDUC ON?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ATOM EDUC ON stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$1.10, calculated fair value R$0.2400 (−78%), Quality Score 53/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATED3 calculated?
We run ATOM EDUC ON through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$0.2400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ATOM EDUC ON itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$1.10. Our model-based fair value is R$0.2400, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ATOM EDUC ON right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$0.1600 to R$0.3100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ATOM EDUC ON

How large is the market capitalisation of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
The market capitalisation of ATOM EDUC ON is R$37.9M (≈ $7.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
Earnings per share at ATOM EDUC ON are R$−0.2100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
The net margin of ATOM EDUC ON is −16.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ATOM EDUC ON is 3.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does ATOM EDUC ON (ATED3) generate?
The free cash flow of ATOM EDUC ON is −R$825K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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