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ATOM EDUC (ATED3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ATOM EDUC stock BRL 0.24, price BRL 0.89, that is 73.0% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services BR

AE ATOM EDUC logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

ATOM EDUC

ATED3 · SA
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 73% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 51/100
Fair value R$0.2400 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.7 %/yr in BRL)
Loss-making · -16.3% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$2.51 R$0.8900 Fair Value R$0.2400 Dec 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range R$0.8900 – R$2.51 · fair‑value band R$0.1600 – R$0.3100 · the R$0.8900 price screens above the R$0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Atom Educação E Editora S.A. focuses on publishing and editing of books, magazines, and educational contents in the financial market.

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It also provides training services for professional development and equity management; and publishes and develops educational materials for financial education and markets, investments, and stock exchange operations, as well as professional development, such as entrepreneurship; and preparation of public examinations.

In addition, the company offers investment services in public and private debt securities; and day trading operation services. It distributes education courses through franchises. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Sorocaba, Brazil.

Atom Educação E Editora S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Atom Empreendimentos e Participações S.A.

Stock analysis

ATOM EDUC (ATED3) currently trades at R$0.8900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.2400, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 79/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: R$0.1600 (bear) to R$0.3100 (bull), the price of R$0.8900 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

ATOM EDUC ON reported revenue of R$26.5M in FY2025 versus R$35.9M in FY2022, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −R$4.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$20.5M (≈ $3.7M) Micro · EPS (TTM) R$−0.2300 · Net margin −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% (4-year average) · Free cash flow −R$825K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −73%, ATED3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$0.1600 Fair Value R$0.2400 Bull R$0.3100
Price R$0.8900 · Downside -73.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) R$0.1600 R$0.2400 R$0.3100 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$0.1600 R$0.2400 R$0.3100 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 87
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 12
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 87
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.8% (2022) → −11.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ATED3 screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −18.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −16.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Discover tools

For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

ATOM EDUC ON: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ATOM EDUC ON Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATED3

Frequently asked questions

Is ATOM EDUC (ATED3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$0.2400 versus a price of R$0.8900, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATED3?
Our model-based fair value for ATOM EDUC is R$0.2400 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$0.8900.
What is the quality score of ATED3?
ATOM EDUC has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$0.2400 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$0.1600, optimistic scenario R$0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ATOM EDUC ON stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$0.2400, about 73% lower versus a price of R$0.8900 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$0.1600, optimistic scenario R$0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ATOM EDUC it is R$0.2400 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of R$0.8900. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is ATOM EDUC ON stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ATED3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$0.8900, fair value R$0.2400, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATED3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$0.8900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$0.2400). For ATOM EDUC the two are R$0.6500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ATOM EDUC ON worth?
The market values ATOM EDUC at about R$20.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is R$0.8900; our models calculate a fair value of R$0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATED3?
Our models span a range for ATOM EDUC: cautious scenario R$0.1600, base R$0.2400, optimistic R$0.3100 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price R$0.8900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is ATED3 from its 52-week high?
ATOM EDUC trades at R$0.8900, about 65% below its 52-week high of R$2.51 and at the low of R$0.8900 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ATOM EDUC ON?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ATOM EDUC ON stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price R$0.8900, calculated fair value R$0.2400 (−73%), Quality Score 51/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATED3 calculated?
We run ATOM EDUC through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of R$0.2400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ATOM EDUC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was R$0.8900. Our model-based fair value is R$0.2400, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ATOM EDUC ON right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$0.1600 to R$0.3100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ATOM EDUC

How large is the market capitalisation of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
The market capitalisation of ATOM EDUC is R$20.5M (≈ $3.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
Earnings per share at ATOM EDUC are R$−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
The net margin of ATOM EDUC is −16.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ATOM EDUC (ATED3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ATOM EDUC is 3.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does ATOM EDUC (ATED3) generate?
The free cash flow of ATOM EDUC is −R$825K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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