CapitaLand Retail China Trust (AU8U) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SG · Market cap 1.1B SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −2.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (0.4900 SGD to 1.10 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5390 SGD – 0.9973 SGD · fair‑value band 0.4900 SGD – 1.10 SGD · the 0.6400 SGD price screens below the 0.7400 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CapitaLand Retail China Trust (AU8U) currently trades at 0.6400 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7400 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CapitaLand Retail China Trust generated revenue of 304M SGD at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.4900 SGD (bear case) to 1.10 SGD (bull case); at 0.6400 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 16%, AU8U screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (0.9900 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.1300 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when AU8U reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) is Singapore's largest China-focused real estate investment trust (REIT). CLCT's portfolio comprises eight shopping malls, five business park properties and four logistics park properties. Its total property value is 4.2 billion US dollars based on valuations as at 31 December 2025.
Full company description
CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) is Singapore's largest China-focused real estate investment trust (REIT). CLCT's portfolio comprises eight shopping malls, five business park properties and four logistics park properties. Its total property value is 4.2 billion US dollars based on valuations as at 31 December 2025. The geographically diversified portfolio has a total gross floor area of approximately 1.7 million square meters, located across 11 leading Chinese cities. CLCT was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) on 8 December 2006, and established with the objective of investing on a long-term basis in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate and real estate-related assets in mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau that are used primarily for retail, office and industrial purposes (including business parks, logistics facilities, data centres and integrated developments). CLCT is managed by CapitaLand China Trust Management Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Singapore-listed CapitaLand Investment Limited, a leading global real asset manager with a strong Asia foothold. CapitaLand China Trust was established on October 23, 2006 and incorporated in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CapitaLand Retail China Trust reported revenue of 304M SGD in FY2025 versus 378M SGD in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.5M SGD in FY2025.
of which total revenue +10.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −9.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch AU8U: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 98 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $220.56 | $84.26 | -62% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $62.59 | $30.45 | -51% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.40 | €98.09 | -5% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $24.18 | $12.49 | -48% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.79 | A$3.34 | -12% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $75.74 | $33.37 | -56% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$38.44 | HK$41.98 | +9% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $117.21 | $41.47 | -65% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $29.73 | $12.34 | -58% |
| Agree Realty Corporation ADC | $74.36 | $38.85 | -48% |
Compare CapitaLand Retail China Trust with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is CapitaLand Retail China Trust (AU8U) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AU8U?
What is the quality score of AU8U?
What is the revenue of CapitaLand Retail China Trust (AU8U)?
What is the net profit margin of AU8U?
Does CapitaLand Retail China Trust pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track CapitaLand Retail China Trust and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.