AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AVG Logistics Ltd ₹220, price ₹167, upside +32.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range ₹129.45 – ₹630.74 · fair‑value band ₹154.22 – ₹286.41 · the ₹166.75 price screens below the ₹220.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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AVG Logistics Limited offers logistics services in India, Bangladesh, and Nepal. The company provides full truckload and less than truckload, dedicated/secondary solution, express delivery, parcel/door to door/household, multimodal, rail, freight forwarding, reverse logistics, and cold chain/refrigerated transportation services.
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AVG Logistics Limited offers logistics services in India, Bangladesh, and Nepal. The company provides full truckload and less than truckload, dedicated/secondary solution, express delivery, parcel/door to door/household, multimodal, rail, freight forwarding, reverse logistics, and cold chain/refrigerated transportation services. It also offers manpower handling, storage space, multiuser, and bonded warehousing services; and value added services comprising end to end, customized, ODC, custom clearing and port logistics, container on rent, and forklift/cranes on rent services. In addition, the company is involved in the trading business. AVG Logistics Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) currently trades at ₹166.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹220.32, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹249.11 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹166.75 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹73.17, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹154.22 (bear) to ₹286.41 (bull), the price of ₹166.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AVG Logistics Ltd reported revenue of ₹5.6B in FY2026 versus ₹4.3B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹262M in FY2026, compounding +128.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹4.2B (≈ $43.9M) · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) ₹16.87 · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% · Operating margin 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 32%, AVG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹154.22Fair Value ₹220.32Bull ₹286.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹8.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+84.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+84.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹220.32 versus a price of ₹166.75, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVG?
Our model-based fair value for AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹220.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹166.75.
What is the quality score of AVG?
AVG Logistics Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹220.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹154.22, optimistic scenario ₹286.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AVG Logistics Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹220.32, about +32% upside versus a price of ₹166.75 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹154.22, optimistic scenario ₹286.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
AVG Logistics Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AVG Logistics Ltd it is ₹220.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ₹166.75. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AVG Logistics Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AVG trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹166.75, fair value ₹220.32, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹166.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹220.32). For AVG Logistics Ltd the two are ₹53.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AVG Logistics Ltd worth?
The market values AVG Logistics Ltd at about ₹4.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ₹166.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹220.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVG?
Our models span a range for AVG Logistics Ltd: cautious scenario ₹154.22, base ₹220.32, optimistic ₹286.41 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ₹166.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVG?
AVG Logistics Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹220.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Balance-sheet figures for AVG Logistics Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVG from its 52-week high?
AVG Logistics Ltd trades at ₹166.75, about 32% below its 52-week high of ₹243.85 and 29% above the low of ₹129.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹220.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AVG Logistics Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AVG Logistics Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ₹166.75, calculated fair value ₹220.32 (+32%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVG calculated?
We run AVG Logistics Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹220.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AVG Logistics Ltd currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹166.75. Our model-based fair value is ₹220.32, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AVG Logistics Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (₹154.22 to ₹286.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of AVG Logistics Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The market capitalisation of AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹4.2B (≈ $43.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AVG Logistics Ltd is 0.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Earnings per share at AVG Logistics Ltd are ₹16.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The net margin of AVG Logistics Ltd is 4.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AVG Logistics Ltd is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AVG Logistics Ltd is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The operating margin of AVG Logistics Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Revenue at AVG Logistics Ltd is growing +5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Earnings per share at AVG Logistics Ltd are growing +93.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) generate?
The free cash flow of AVG Logistics Ltd is −₹252M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) carry?
The net debt of AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹1.8B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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