AVG Logistics Limited (AVG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹4.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Share price −10.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (₹174.38 to ₹323.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ₹174.38 (bear) to ₹323.84 (bull), base ₹249.11. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 37/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range ₹129.45 – ₹630.74 · fair‑value band ₹174.38 – ₹323.84 · the ₹200.90 price screens below the ₹249.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
AVG Logistics Limited (AVG) currently trades at ₹200.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹249.11, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVG Logistics Limited generated revenue of ₹5.6B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at ₹1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹174.38 (bear case) to ₹323.84 (bull case); at ₹200.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 24%, AVG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹249.11) versus Earnings-Based (₹73.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AVG Logistics Limited offers logistics services in India, Bangladesh, and Nepal. The company provides full truckload and less than truckload, dedicated/secondary solution, express delivery, parcel/door to door/household, multimodal, rail, freight forwarding, reverse logistics, and cold chain/refrigerated transportation services.
Full company description
AVG Logistics Limited offers logistics services in India, Bangladesh, and Nepal. The company provides full truckload and less than truckload, dedicated/secondary solution, express delivery, parcel/door to door/household, multimodal, rail, freight forwarding, reverse logistics, and cold chain/refrigerated transportation services. It also offers manpower handling, storage space, multiuser, and bonded warehousing services; and value added services comprising end to end, customized, ODC, custom clearing and port logistics, container on rent, and forklift/cranes on rent services. In addition, the company is involved in the trading business. AVG Logistics Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
AVG Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹5.6B in FY2026 versus ₹4.3B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹262M in FY2026, compounding +128.4%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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