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AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AVG Logistics Ltd stock ₹122, price ₹164, that is 25.3% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials IN · ISIN INE680Z01018

AL AVG Logistics Ltd logo Some data Nov 3, 2026

AVG Logistics Ltd

AVG · BSE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Costs just 9.3 times its yearly profit.
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +9.4 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Fair value ₹122.25 · Overvalued
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 42/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹630.74 ₹129.45 Fair Value ₹122.25 May 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range ₹129.45 – ₹630.74 · fair‑value band ₹115.35 – ₹136.17 · the ₹163.55 price screens above the ₹122.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

AVG Logistics Limited offers logistics services in India, Bangladesh, and Nepal.

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The company provides full truckload and less than truckload, dedicated/secondary solution, express delivery, parcel/door to door/household, multimodal, rail, freight forwarding, reverse logistics, and cold chain/refrigerated transportation services.

It also offers manpower handling, storage space, multiuser, and bonded warehousing services; and value added services comprising end to end, customized, ODC, custom clearing and port logistics, container on rent, and forklift/cranes on rent services.

In addition, the company is involved in the trading business. AVG Logistics Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Delhi, India.

Stock analysis

AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) currently trades at ₹163.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹122.25, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹282.75 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹163.55 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹82.41, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹115.35 (bear) to ₹136.17 (bull), the price of ₹163.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

AVG Logistics Ltd reported revenue of ₹5.6B in FY2026 versus ₹4.3B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹262M in FY2026, compounding +128.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.1B (≈ $32.6M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) ₹17.50 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −25%, AVG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹115.35 Fair Value ₹122.25 Bull ₹136.17
Price ₹163.55 · Downside -25.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹10.69 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ₹115.35 ₹122.25 ₹136.17 73
EPV ₹76.66 ₹91.64 ₹103.83 71
ROIC Compounder ₹76.66 ₹91.64 ₹103.83 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹95.13 ₹259.35 ₹340.06 62
Lynch FV ₹51.22 ₹73.17 ₹95.12 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹51.22 ₹73.17 ₹95.12 55
EPV ₹76.66 ₹91.64 ₹103.83 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹6.80 ₹11.46 ₹14.94 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹6.80 ₹9.72 ₹12.22 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹220.34 ₹293.78 ₹367.23 63
P/S Multiple ₹178.37 ₹237.83 ₹297.28 58
P/B Multiple ₹486.94 ₹649.26 ₹811.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹179.80 ₹271.71 ₹363.62 65
EV/EBITDA ₹197.54 ₹295.36 ₹393.18 66
EV/Revenue ₹100.86 ₹185.21 ₹269.55 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹1.16 ₹1.76 ₹2.19 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹115.35 ₹122.25 ₹136.17 73
ROIC Compounder ₹76.66 ₹91.64 ₹103.83 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹174.38 ₹249.11 ₹323.84 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 57
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 44
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 28
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 55
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+84.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+84.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%

AVG screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 10.2% · Above median
Return on assets 4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 10.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 9.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)41 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥34.54 ¥45.60 +32% vs AVG
FedEx Corporation FDX $308.14 $350.86 +14% vs AVG
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $108.30 $107.24 −1% vs AVG
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.02 €53.62 −8% vs AVG
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $184.61 $117.46 −36% vs AVG
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 235.50 CHF 147.92 −37% vs AVG
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $217.55 $133.78 −39% vs AVG
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.52 €14.76 −40% vs AVG
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,470 kr 711.95 −52% vs AVG
FedEx Freight Holding FDXF $123.56 $54.55 −56% vs AVG

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AVG Logistics Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AVG Logistics Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVG

Frequently asked questions

Is AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹122.25 versus a price of ₹163.55, about 25% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVG?
Our model-based fair value for AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹122.25 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹163.55.
What is the quality score of AVG?
AVG Logistics Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹122.25 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹115.35, optimistic scenario ₹136.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AVG Logistics Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹122.25, about 25% lower versus a price of ₹163.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹115.35, optimistic scenario ₹136.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
AVG Logistics Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AVG Logistics Ltd it is ₹122.25 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ₹163.55. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is AVG Logistics Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, AVG trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹163.55, fair value ₹122.25, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹163.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹122.25). For AVG Logistics Ltd the two are ₹41.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AVG Logistics Ltd worth?
The market values AVG Logistics Ltd at about ₹3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹163.55; our models calculate a fair value of ₹122.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVG?
Our models span a range for AVG Logistics Ltd: cautious scenario ₹115.35, base ₹122.25, optimistic ₹136.17 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ₹163.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVG?
AVG Logistics Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹122.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Balance-sheet figures for AVG Logistics Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVG from its 52-week high?
AVG Logistics Ltd trades at ₹163.55, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹224.90 and 26% above the low of ₹129.45 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹122.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AVG Logistics Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AVG Logistics Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ₹163.55, calculated fair value ₹122.25 (−25%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVG calculated?
We run AVG Logistics Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹122.25 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AVG Logistics Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ₹163.55. Our model-based fair value is ₹122.25, about 25% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AVG Logistics Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹136.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of AVG Logistics Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The market capitalisation of AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹3.1B (≈ $32.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AVG Logistics Ltd is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Earnings per share at AVG Logistics Ltd are ₹17.50 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The net margin of AVG Logistics Ltd is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AVG Logistics Ltd is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AVG Logistics Ltd is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
The operating margin of AVG Logistics Ltd is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Revenue at AVG Logistics Ltd is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG)?
Earnings per share at AVG Logistics Ltd are growing +23.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) generate?
The free cash flow of AVG Logistics Ltd is −₹252M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AVG Logistics Ltd (AVG) carry?
The net debt of AVG Logistics Ltd is ₹1.8B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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