AVTECH Sweden AB (AVT-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 243M SEK (≈ $25.3M) · ISIN SE0004270445
What is AVTECH Sweden AB really worth?
A strong business, trading 46% below our fair value of kr 5.60.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of AVTECH Sweden AB is kr 5.60 per share against a price of kr 3.04, so the fair value sits 84% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −42.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 3.76). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 3.76 to kr 12.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.08 – kr 12.15 · fair‑value band kr 3.76 – kr 12.07 · the kr 3.04 price screens below the kr 5.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
AVTECH Sweden AB (AVT-B) currently trades at kr 3.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 5.60, implying the stock looks roughly 45.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 9.54 per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 3.04 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.7600, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVTECH Sweden AB generated revenue of 54.7M SEK at a net margin of 31.2%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 33.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 3.76 (bear case) to kr 12.07 (bull case); at kr 3.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 84%, AVT-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.1359 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 9.54) versus Dividend Discount (kr 0.0200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AVTECH Sweden AB (publ) engages in the development and sale of products and services for digital air traffic management systems.
Full company description
AVTECH Sweden AB (publ) engages in the development and sale of products and services for digital air traffic management systems. The company provides ClearPath Safety, a real-time flight path optimization service with high-resolution weather and real aircraft parameters, such as weight, cost Index, and routing; Clearpath Optimization that offers automatic real-time trajectory optimization, vertical, lateral, speed, and on-time performance calculations; and Aventus, a service that delivers accurate wind and temperature data to the aircraft's computer to enhance the aircraft's calculations during the climb, cruise, and descent phases. It also offers SIGMA, an automatic service that presents precise turbulence data and weather hazards to the pilots in real time during the flight; and proFLIGHT, a unique visual flight weather and optimization tool for use by the professional pilot. In addition, the company offers ClearPath Vertical, ClearPath Dashboard, ClearPath App, ClearPath Dispatch, Weather Data, AMP, and Air Traffic Management services. The company serves airlines, airports, aviation and technology companies, and aircraft manufacturers. AVTECH Sweden AB (publ) was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Kista, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AVTECH Sweden AB reported revenue of 47.4M SEK in FY2025 versus 11.8M SEK in FY2021, a compound +41.6%/yr. Reported net income was 17.0M SEK in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $335.71 | $116.71 | −65% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $212.08 | $88.37 | −58% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €213.00 | €117.01 | −45% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $565.89 | $419.01 | −26% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $264.85 | $50.43 | −81% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $379.32 | $274.32 | −28% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $545.57 | $356.59 | −35% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,235 | $571.03 | −54% |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX | $262.82 | $146.55 | −44% |
| Thales S.A HO | €243.70 | €171.13 | −30% |
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