EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Avantium N.V (AVTXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Avantium N.V $4.44, price $5.64, upside -21.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · US · Home Netherlands

AN Avantium N.V logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Avantium N.V

AVTXF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $4.44 · Overvalued (−21.3%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -154.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 6 out of 100
Watch Avantium N.V for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$18.90 $0.0020 Fair Value $4.44 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0020 – $18.90 · fair‑value band $3.31 – $6.62 · the $5.64 price screens above the $4.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow Avantium in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Avantium is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Avantium N.V., a chemical technology company, develops and commercializes bio-based plastics and chemicals in the Netherlands. It operates through Avantium R&D Solutions and Avantium Renewable Polymers.

Show more

Avantium N.V., a chemical technology company, develops and commercializes bio-based plastics and chemicals in the Netherlands. It operates through Avantium R&D Solutions and Avantium Renewable Polymers. The company offers Releaf, boasts barrier properties for carbon dioxide and oxygen that leads to longer shelf life of packaged products used for packaging, textiles, film, and PEF applications. It also provides furandicarboxylic acid (FDCA), a building block for the high-performance plant-based polymer polyethylene furanoate (PEF). In addition, the company offers YXY Technology which catalytically converts plant-based sugars into FDCA. Further, it is development and commercialization of the Dawn Technology, Parana Technology, and Volta Technology. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Avantium N.V (AVTXF) currently trades at $5.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.44, 21.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $3.31 (bear) to $6.62 (bull), the price of $5.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Avantium N.V reported revenue of €14.6M in FY2025 versus €10.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€22.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $214M · P/S ratio 14.6 · EPS (TTM) $−1.97 · Net margin −154% · Return on equity −21.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.7% · Operating margin −249% · Revenue (TTM) €14.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −21%, AVTXF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.31 Fair Value $4.44 Bull $6.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $3.34 $4.48 $6.68 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.34 $4.48 $6.68 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when AVTXF reaches fair value

Put AVTXF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−343.7% (2020) → −294.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AVTXF screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (11 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Compare Avantium N.V with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 694 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −20.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −7.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −154.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −34.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 14.63× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)6 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $474.65 $441.72 −7%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $330.44 $151.68 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $274.58 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $279.19 $121.30 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Avantium N.V · Fair Value
$4.44 −21%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avantium N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVTXF

Frequently asked questions

Is Avantium N.V (AVTXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.44 versus a price of $5.64, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVTXF?
Our model-based fair value for Avantium N.V is $4.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.64.
What is the quality score of AVTXF?
Avantium N.V has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.31, optimistic scenario $6.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avantium N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.44, about −21% upside versus a price of $5.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.31, optimistic scenario $6.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Avantium N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €14.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avantium N.V it is $4.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.64. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avantium N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AVTXF trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.64, fair value $4.44, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVTXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.44). For Avantium N.V the two are $1.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avantium N.V worth?
The market values Avantium N.V at about $214M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.64; our models calculate a fair value of $4.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVTXF?
Our models span a range for Avantium N.V: cautious scenario $3.31, base $4.44, optimistic $6.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avantium N.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −21.9%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVTXF from its 52-week high?
Avantium N.V trades at $5.64, about 55% below its 52-week high of $12.65 and 6% above the low of $5.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avantium N.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avantium N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.64, calculated fair value $4.44 (−21%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVTXF calculated?
We run Avantium N.V through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Avantium N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $5.64. Our model-based fair value is $4.44, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avantium N.V right now?
Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($3.31 to $6.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Avantium N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The market capitalisation of Avantium N.V is $214M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avantium N.V is 14.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Earnings per share at Avantium N.V are $−1.97. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The net margin of Avantium N.V is −154% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avantium N.V is −21.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avantium N.V is −21.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
The operating margin of Avantium N.V is −249% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avantium N.V (AVTXF)?
Revenue at Avantium N.V is growing −34.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Avantium N.V (AVTXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Avantium N.V is −€48.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avantium N.V (AVTXF) carry?
The net debt of Avantium N.V is €90.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Avantium N.V in the live analysis

One click puts Avantium N.V on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.