Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 86.3M SEK (≈ $9.1M) · ISIN SE0009414303
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −5.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 712% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.2480 – kr 1.82 · fair‑value band kr 0.0255 – kr 0.0425 · the kr 0.2760 price screens above the kr 0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) currently trades at kr 0.2760, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 87.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Axolot Solutions Holding AB generated revenue of 10.6M SEK at a net margin of -56.1%. It earns a return on equity of -7.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 12.6M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.0255 (bear case) to kr 0.0425 (bull case); at kr 0.2760, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -88%, AXOLOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Axolot Solutions Holding AB (publ) provides solutions for industrial water purification in Sweden. It offers AxoPur, a water purification system.
Full company description
Axolot Solutions Holding AB (publ) provides solutions for industrial water purification in Sweden. It offers AxoPur, a water purification system. The company also provides industries solutions, including smelting, chemical, and paper and pulp; coating, surface treatment, and metalworking; dairies, slaughterhouses, and fish farming/fish slaughterhouses; smaller treatment plant and leachate landfill; and stormwater, vacuum truck sludge suction water, leachate water, and vehicle wash. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Helsingborg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Axolot Solutions Holding AB reported revenue of kr 10.6M in FY2025 versus kr 3.0M in FY2021, a compound +37.6%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 5.9M in FY2025.
AXOLOT screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 167 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $221.24 | $128.02 | -42% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $222.18 | $120.63 | -46% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$230.52 | C$78.67 | -66% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €32.58 | €23.26 | -29% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $316.65 | $154.01 | -51% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$57.62 | C$44.27 | -23% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €11.30 | €7.30 | -35% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.75 | ¥5.27 | -22% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥15.68 | ¥20.95 | +34% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.56 | A$1.18 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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