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Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Axolot Solutions Holding AB SEK 0.03, price SEK 0.27, upside -87.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · SE · ISIN SE0009414303

AS Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Axolot Solutions Holding AB

AXOLOT · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +21.6 %/yr in SEK)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Fair value kr 0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−87.6%)
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -84.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 1.29 kr 0.2480 Fair Value kr 0.0340 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.2480 – kr 1.29 · fair‑value band kr 0.0255 – kr 0.0425 · the kr 0.2740 price screens above the kr 0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Axolot Solutions Holding AB (publ) provides solutions for industrial water purification in Sweden. It offers AxoPur, a water purification system.

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Axolot Solutions Holding AB (publ) provides solutions for industrial water purification in Sweden. It offers AxoPur, a water purification system. The company also provides industries solutions, including smelting, chemical, and paper and pulp; coating, surface treatment, and metalworking; dairies, slaughterhouses, and fish farming/fish slaughterhouses; smaller treatment plant and leachate landfill; and stormwater, vacuum truck sludge suction water, leachate water, and vehicle wash. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Helsingborg, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) currently trades at kr 0.2740, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.0340, 87.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.0255 (bear) to kr 0.0425 (bull), the price of kr 0.2740 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Axolot Solutions Holding AB reported revenue of 10.6M SEK in FY2025 versus 3.0M SEK in FY2021, a compound +37.6%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 86.9M SEK (≈ $8.7M) · P/S ratio 10.5 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.0300 · Dividend yield 13.9% · Net margin −56.1% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −42.9% · Operating margin −287%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −88%, AXOLOT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.0255 Fair Value kr 0.0340 Bull kr 0.0425
Price kr 0.2740 · Upside -87.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1200 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1200 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2500 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+255.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+73.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−498.5% (2020) → −60.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AXOLOT screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

Compare Axolot Solutions Holding AB with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 151 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −84.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −55.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18% vs AXOLOT
Waste Management, Inc WM $207.88 $228.67 +10% vs AXOLOT
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.16 $170.68 +10% vs AXOLOT
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14% vs AXOLOT
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.33 $34.27 −19% vs AXOLOT
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32% vs AXOLOT
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.09 €20.32 −35% vs AXOLOT
Republic Services, Inc RSG $209.56 $128.63 −39% vs AXOLOT
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50% vs AXOLOT
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $83.78 $14.82 −82% vs AXOLOT

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Axolot Solutions Holding AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AXOLOT

Frequently asked questions

Is Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.0340 versus a price of kr 0.2740, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AXOLOT?
Our model-based fair value for Axolot Solutions Holding AB is kr 0.0340 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.2740.
What is the quality score of AXOLOT?
Axolot Solutions Holding AB has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.0340 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.0255, optimistic scenario kr 0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Axolot Solutions Holding AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.0340, about −88% upside versus a price of kr 0.2740 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.0255, optimistic scenario kr 0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Axolot Solutions Holding AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.4M SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Axolot Solutions Holding AB pay a dividend?
Axolot Solutions Holding AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.94% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Axolot Solutions Holding AB it is kr 0.0340 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 0.2740. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Axolot Solutions Holding AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, AXOLOT trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 0.2740, fair value kr 0.0340, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AXOLOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.2740); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.0340). For Axolot Solutions Holding AB the two are kr 0.2400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Axolot Solutions Holding AB worth?
The market values Axolot Solutions Holding AB at about 86.9M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.2740; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AXOLOT?
Our models span a range for Axolot Solutions Holding AB: cautious scenario kr 0.0255, base kr 0.0340, optimistic kr 0.0425 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 0.2740). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Axolot Solutions Holding AB (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −9.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AXOLOT from its 52-week high?
Axolot Solutions Holding AB trades at kr 0.2740, about 34% below its 52-week high of kr 0.4160 and 5% above the low of kr 0.2600 (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Axolot Solutions Holding AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Axolot Solutions Holding AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 0.2740, calculated fair value kr 0.0340 (−88%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AXOLOT calculated?
We run Axolot Solutions Holding AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Axolot Solutions Holding AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was kr 0.2740. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.0340, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Axolot Solutions Holding AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Axolot Solutions Holding AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The market capitalisation of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is 86.9M SEK (≈ $8.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is 10.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Earnings per share at Axolot Solutions Holding AB are kr −0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The dividend yield of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is 13.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The net margin of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is −56.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is −42.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
The operating margin of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is −287% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT)?
Revenue at Axolot Solutions Holding AB is growing −55.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +73.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) generate?
The free cash flow of Axolot Solutions Holding AB is −4.6M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Axolot Solutions Holding AB (AXOLOT) hold?
Axolot Solutions Holding AB holds more cash than debt, 12.6M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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