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Azul S.A (AZLUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.7B

Price$8.53
Fair Value$14.88
Upside+74.4%
Quality91/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.01 – $17.27

Analysis

Azul S.A (AZLUY) currently trades at $8.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.88 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in Brazil and internationally. It is also involved in the cargo or postal; passenger charter; development of frequent-flyer programs; intellectual property owner; travel packages; funding: aircraft financing; and provision of maintenance and hangarage services for aircraft, engines, parts and pieces, aircraft acquisition, and lease services. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated approximately 970 daily departures to 160 destinations through a network of 390 non-stop routes; with an operating fleet of 176 aircraft and a passenger contractual fleet of 227 aircraft. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.