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Bally's Corp (BALY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Bally's Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jul 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US05875B1061

BS Bally's Corp logo Thin data Jul 24, 2026

Bally's Corp

BALY · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $11.57 · Fairly valued (−5%)
!Quality 17/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +48.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -30.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 26 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$54.98 $7.77 Fair Value $11.57 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.77 – $54.98 · fair‑value band $8.64 – $17.27 · the $12.21 price screens above the $11.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America.

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Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally's holds a majority interest in Bally's Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator. Bally's casino operations include approximately 17,700 slot machines, 630 table games, and 3,950 hotel rooms. Bally's also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort in The Bronx, New York and is developing an integrated destination resort in Chicago, Illinois. Bally's has approximately 10,800 employees across the world, recognized for their innovation, energy, and dedication to creating thrilling gaming experiences. Bally's Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Providence, United States.

Stock analysis

Bally's Corp (BALY) currently trades at $12.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.57, implying the stock looks roughly 5.5% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $8.64 (bear) to $17.27 (bull), the price of $12.21 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bally's Corp reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$701M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $741M · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) $−14.16 · Net margin −26.4% · Return on equity −54.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin 0.2% · Revenue (TTM) $2.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at −5%, BALY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.64 Fair Value $11.57 Bull $17.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA n/a $9.52 $30.62 62
NCAV (Graham) $10.16 $13.61 $20.32 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a $9.52 $30.62 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.16 $13.61 $20.32 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.9% (2020) → 1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 70 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.49× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)26 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $39.70 $54.02 +36%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$32.10 HK$46.74 +46%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$12.16 HK$18.87 +55%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $38.90 $17.73 −54%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $82.51 $146.53 +78%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $48.76 $18.01 −63%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $72.08 $144.08 +100%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.62 $80.92 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.5600 SGD −10%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $138.98 $152.88 +10%

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Bally's Corp · Fair Value
$11.57 −6%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bally's Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALY

Frequently asked questions

Is Bally's Corp (BALY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.57 versus a price of $12.21, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BALY?
Our model-based fair value for Bally's Corp is $11.57 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.21.
What is the quality score of BALY?
Bally's Corp has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.57 (as of Jul 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.64, optimistic scenario $17.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bally's Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.57, about −5% upside versus a price of $12.21 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.64, optimistic scenario $17.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Bally's Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bally's Corp it is $11.57 per share (as of Jul 24, 2026), against a price of $12.21. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bally's Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 24, 2026, BALY trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.21, fair value $11.57, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BALY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.57). For Bally's Corp the two are $0.6410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bally's Corp worth?
The market values Bally's Corp at about $741M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 24, 2026). Per share that is $12.21; our models calculate a fair value of $11.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BALY?
Our models span a range for Bally's Corp: cautious scenario $8.64, base $11.57, optimistic $17.27 per share (as of Jul 24, 2026, price $12.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bally's Corp (as of Jul 24, 2026): return on equity −54.6%, debt of 4.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 17/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BALY from its 52-week high?
Bally's Corp trades at $12.21, about 37% below its 52-week high of $19.46 and 38% above the low of $8.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bally's Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bally's Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 24, 2026: price $12.21, calculated fair value $11.57 (−5%), Quality Score 17/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BALY calculated?
We run Bally's Corp through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bally's Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $12.21. Our model-based fair value is $11.57, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bally's Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($8.64 to $17.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Bally's Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The market capitalisation of Bally's Corp is $741M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bally's Corp is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Earnings per share at Bally's Corp are $−14.16. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The net margin of Bally's Corp is −26.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bally's Corp is −54.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bally's Corp is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The operating margin of Bally's Corp is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Revenue at Bally's Corp is growing +28.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Earnings per share at Bally's Corp are growing +107% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bally's Corp (BALY) generate?
The free cash flow of Bally's Corp is −$275M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bally's Corp (BALY) carry?
The net debt of Bally's Corp is $5.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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