Bally's Corporation (BALY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $642M
Bally's Corporation
BALY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +9.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($8.64 to $17.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.77 – $59.63 · fair‑value band $8.64 – $17.27 · the $13.45 price screens above the $11.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Bally's Corporation (BALY) currently trades at $13.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.57, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bally's Corporation generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of -30.0%. Revenue grew 28.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -54.6%. Net debt stands at $5.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.64 (bear case) to $17.27 (bull case); at $13.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -14%, BALY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($13.61) versus Multiples ($9.52). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America.
Full company description
Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally's holds a majority interest in Bally's Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator. Bally's casino operations include approximately 17,700 slot machines, 630 table games, and 3,950 hotel rooms. Bally's also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort in The Bronx, New York and is developing an integrated destination resort in Chicago, Illinois. Bally's has approximately 10,800 employees across the world, recognized for their innovation, energy, and dedication to creating thrilling gaming experiences. Bally's Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Providence, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bally's Corporation reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$701M in FY2025.
BALY screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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