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Bally's Corp (BALY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bally's Corp stock $11.71, price $12.02, that is 2.6% below the price, quality 21 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

BS Bally's Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Bally's Corp

BALY · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +21%, profit +107%.
Fair value $11.71 · Fairly valued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +48.1 %/yr in USD)
Quality 21/100
Loss-making · -25.8% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -19.7%
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$53.82 $7.77 Fair Value $11.71 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.77 – $53.82 · fair‑value band $8.78 – $14.64 · the $12.02 price screens above the $11.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado.

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Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally's holds a majority interest in Bally's Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator.

Bally's casino operations include approximately 17,700 slot machines, 630 table games, and 3,950 hotel rooms.

Bally's also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort in The Bronx, New York and is developing an integrated destination resort in Chicago, Illinois.

Bally's has approximately 10,800 employees across the world, recognized for their innovation, energy, and dedication to creating thrilling gaming experiences. Bally's Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Providence, United States.

Stock analysis

Bally's Corp (BALY) currently trades at $12.02, while our estimate is $11.71, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.6%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $8.78 (bear) to $14.64 (bull), the price of $12.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bally's Corp reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$701M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $728M Small · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) $−11.51 · Net margin −25.8% · Return on equity −56.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.8% · Revenue (TTM) $3.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −3%, BALY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $8.78 Fair Value $11.71 Bull $14.64
Price $12.02 · Downside -2.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 5
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 45
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 29
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 60
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.9% (2020) → 1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 64 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −25.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 20.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.49× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MGM China Holdings 2282 HK$10.25 HK$30.75 +200% vs BALY
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$11.28 HK$18.86 +67% vs BALY
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $78.29 $129.48 +65% vs BALY
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $40.82 $55.26 +35% vs BALY
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$35.10 HK$46.74 +33% vs BALY
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6150 SGD 0.6400 SGD +4% vs BALY
MGM Resorts International MGM $33.06 $31.91 −3% vs BALY
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $87.30 $54.88 −37% vs BALY
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $49.46 $30.31 −39% vs BALY
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $156.51 $83.42 −47% vs BALY

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Bally's Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bally's Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALY

Frequently asked questions

Is Bally's Corp (BALY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $11.71 versus a price of $12.02, about 3% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BALY?
Our estimate for Bally's Corp is $11.71 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.02.
What is the quality score of BALY?
Bally's Corp has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $11.71 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $8.78, optimistic scenario $14.64. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Bally's Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $11.71, about 3% lower versus a price of $12.02 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.78, optimistic scenario $14.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Bally's Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bally's Corp it is $11.71 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $12.02.
Is Bally's Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, BALY trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.02, fair value $11.71, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BALY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.71). For Bally's Corp the two are $0.3100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bally's Corp worth?
The market values Bally's Corp at about $728M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $12.02; our models calculate a fair value of $11.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BALY?
Our models span a range for Bally's Corp: cautious scenario $8.78, base $11.71, optimistic $14.64 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $12.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bally's Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −56.6%, debt of 4.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BALY from its 52-week high?
Bally's Corp trades at $12.02, about 38% below its 52-week high of $19.36 and 36% above the low of $8.84 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bally's Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bally's Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $12.02, calculated fair value $11.71 (−3%), Quality Score 21/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Bally's Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $12.02. Our estimate is $11.71, about 3% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bally's Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Bally's Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The market capitalisation of Bally's Corp is $728M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bally's Corp is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Earnings per share at Bally's Corp are $−11.51. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The net margin of Bally's Corp is −25.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bally's Corp is −56.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bally's Corp is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bally's Corp (BALY)?
The operating margin of Bally's Corp is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Revenue at Bally's Corp is growing +20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bally's Corp (BALY)?
Earnings per share at Bally's Corp are growing +107% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bally's Corp (BALY) generate?
The free cash flow of Bally's Corp is −$275M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bally's Corp (BALY) carry?
The net debt of Bally's Corp is $5.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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