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British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad (BATMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $306M

BA British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad logo British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad BATMF · US
Price$1.07
Fair Value$2.27
Upside+112.2%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $1.56 – $3.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $2.25 to $2.27 (+0.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 112% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.56 to $3.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$1.76 $0.5249 Fair Value $2.27 Jul 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range $0.5249 – $1.76 · fair‑value band $1.56 – $3.42 · the $1.07 price screens below the $2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad (BATMF) currently trades at $1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 112.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad generated revenue of $797M at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue declined 50.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.6%. Net debt stands at $537M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.56 (bear case) to $3.42 (bull case); at $1.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 112%, BATMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.28 $5.37 $7.15 80
Residual Income $4.57 $6.88 $71.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.91 $10.71 $15.37 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.16 $5.31 $7.33 38
Owner Earnings $6.38 $8.15 $11.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.91 $10.60 $16.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.20 $11.10 $16.34 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.04 $10.82 $15.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.45 $8.09 $11.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.83 $8.37 $11.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.74 $8.21 $10.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.82 $6.89 $8.09 54
EPV $4.37 $4.95 $5.43 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.64 $14.18 $17.73 63
P/S Multiple $9.04 $12.05 $15.07 58
P/B Multiple $3.74 $4.99 $6.24 55
EV/EBIT $14.48 $19.26 $24.05 53
EV/EBITDA $11.08 $14.73 $18.38 54
EV/Revenue $9.80 $13.94 $18.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8300 $1.11 $1.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.28 $5.37 $7.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.91 $10.71 $15.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.57 $6.88 $71.03 76
ROIC Compounder $4.40 $5.07 $5.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.52 $10.75 $13.97 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.94) versus Asset-Based ($1.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $797M
Revenue growth (YoY) -50.2%
Net margin 18.1%
Return on equity 35.6%
Free cash flow $140M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin -19.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) +148%
Net debt $537M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 82
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad engages in the manufacture, sale, marketing and importation of cigarettes, pipe tobaccos, cigars, devices, other tobacco products, and nicotine products in Malaysia.

Full company description

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad engages in the manufacture, sale, marketing and importation of cigarettes, pipe tobaccos, cigars, devices, other tobacco products, and nicotine products in Malaysia. It sells tobacco products under the Dunhill, Peter Stuyvesant, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, KYO, and Luckies brands; tobacco heating products under the glo brand; and nicotine vapor products under the Vuse brand. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. It serves adult nicotine consumers, retailers, wholesalers, and business partners, and engages with government agencies, industry bodies, and local communities. British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad operates as a subsidiary of British American Tobacco Holdings Malaysia B V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $202M in FY2025, compounding −8.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.2B
Latest YoY
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Revenue −4.6%/yr
FY21 $2.6B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.3B
FY24 $2.3B
FY25 $2.2B
Net income −8.2%/yr
FY21 $285M
FY22 $263M
FY23 $195M
FY24 $183M
FY25 $202M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BATMF

Peer Group

Tobacco · 34 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside +112% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 100 · sector 44
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Philip Morris International Inc PM $188.93 $103.71 -45%
Altria Group MO $68.44 $81.81 +20%
ITC Limited ITC ₹281.75 ₹282.04 +0%
KT&G Corporation 033780 179,900 KRW 119,073 KRW -34%
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP 695.00 IDR 1,193 IDR +72%
Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP ₹2,337 ₹1,194 -49%
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM 16,375 IDR 16,988 IDR +4%
TABAK TABAK 18,480 CZK 23,215 CZK +26%
China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 HK$23.00 HK$24.09 +5%
Universal Corporation UVV $53.14 $27.50 -48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad (BATMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.27 versus a price of $1.07, about +112% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BATMF?
Our model-based fair value for British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad is $2.27 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.07.
What is the quality score of BATMF?
British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad (BATMF)?
British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $797M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BATMF?
The net profit margin of British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad is about 18.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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