Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company (BCT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 15.0B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (58.06 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 34.94 THB – 72.71 THB · fair‑value band 58.06 THB – 81.95 THB · the 49.50 THB price screens below the 70.00 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company (BCT) currently trades at 49.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 70.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company generated revenue of 9.6B THB at a net margin of 19.3%. Revenue declined 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 6.7B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 58.06 THB (bear case) to 81.95 THB (bull case); at 49.50 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 41%, BCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (84.38 THB) versus Dividend Discount (13.31 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when BCT reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black. The company's carbon solutions are used in tires, mechanical rubber goods, plastics, inks, coatings, energy systems, adhesives and sealants, and nonocyl applications.
Full company description
Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black. The company's carbon solutions are used in tires, mechanical rubber goods, plastics, inks, coatings, energy systems, adhesives and sealants, and nonocyl applications. It operates in Thailand, Vietnam, Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Australia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Thai Carbon Black Public Company Limited and changed its name to Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company Limited in July 2018. Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company Limited was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company reported revenue of 9.6B THB in FY2025 versus 10.3B THB in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B THB in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch BCT: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
Compare Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company (BCT) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of BCT?
What is the quality score of BCT?
What is the revenue of Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company (BCT)?
What is the net profit margin of BCT?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Birla Carbon (Thailand) Public Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.