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Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bombardier Inc $146, price $217, upside -32.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Bombardier Inc
BDRBF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $146.17 · Overvalued (−32.6%)
!Quality 57/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin (TTM) · excl. one-off gain FY2025 8.0%
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.15 – $265.00 · fair‑value band $107.79 – $205.31 · the $217.01 price screens above the $146.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Bombardier Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of business aircraft and aircraft structural components worldwide. It also provides various services, such as parts, service centers, smart services, training, and technical publications.
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Bombardier Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of business aircraft and aircraft structural components worldwide. It also provides various services, such as parts, service centers, smart services, training, and technical publications. The company serves multinational corporations, charter and fractional ownership providers, governments, and private individuals. Bombardier Inc. was incorporated in 1902 and is based in Dorval, Canada.
Stock analysis
Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) currently trades at $217.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $146.17, 32.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $190.01 per share, and 2 of the 21 models we run sit above the $217.01 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $89.11, and 19 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $107.79 (bear) to $205.31 (bull), the price of $217.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bombardier Inc reported revenue of $9.6B in FY2025 versus $6.1B in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was $928M in FY2025, compounding −34.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $21.5B · P/E ratio 22.7 · P/S ratio 2.21 · EPS (TTM) $9.48 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −33%, BDRBF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $107.79
Fair Value $146.17
Bull $205.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($7.17 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$138.00
$202.95
$323.23
79
Growth DCF
$145.70
$208.74
$316.56
78
Owner Earnings
$156.75
$229.06
$362.97
75
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$138.00
$202.95
$323.23
79
Owner Earnings
$156.75
$229.06
$362.97
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$101.90
$154.27
$230.23
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$129.40
$201.87
$297.90
75
5Y P/E Exit
$125.13
$194.49
$277.51
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$111.73
$152.06
$194.62
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$131.48
$181.50
$234.35
69
10Y P/E Exit
$128.89
$176.94
$222.38
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$72.90
$89.11
$100.24
67
EPV
$82.22
$100.49
$116.47
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$2.23
$2.44
$2.76
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$2.23
$2.79
$3.59
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$168.86
$225.15
$281.43
63
P/S Multiple
$136.70
$182.26
$227.83
58
EV/EBIT
$135.66
$190.01
$244.37
66
EV/EBITDA
$149.56
$208.54
$267.53
67
EV/Revenue
$88.98
$138.86
$188.73
53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$145.70
$208.74
$316.56
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$101.90
$158.15
$227.86
72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$82.22
$102.77
$121.96
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$119.24
$170.34
$221.44
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
57/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability
43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+44.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 12%
2025 sits 125% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.8% a year for the price and +2.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%
BDRBF screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- Has Bombardier Inc. (BDRBF) Outpaced Other Aerospace Stocks This Year?
- Bombardier Announces 2025 Winners of its Supplier Recognition Program
- FII Institute Announces Bombardier as a Strategic Partner
- Bombardier Proudly Shares the 30th Anniversary of Safety Standdown with an Industry-Wide Gathering in Wichita, Kansas
Compare Bombardier Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Weapons
Defense
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $312.29 | $92.61 | −70% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $185.01 | $88.30 | −52% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €185.60 | €112.14 | −40% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $509.25 | $439.62 | −14% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $230.94 | $52.67 | −77% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $334.16 | $274.19 | −18% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $504.61 | $382.98 | −24% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,116 | $1,228 | +10% |
| Thales S.A HO | €222.70 | €170.99 | −23% |
| Rheinmetall AG RHM | €956.90 | €313.19 | −67% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $146.17 versus a price of $217.01, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BDRBF?
Our model-based fair value for Bombardier Inc is $146.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $217.01.
What is the quality score of BDRBF?
Bombardier Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $146.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $107.79, optimistic scenario $205.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bombardier Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $146.17, about −33% upside versus a price of $217.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $107.79, optimistic scenario $205.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Bombardier Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Bombardier Inc pay a dividend?
Bombardier Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bombardier Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +16.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BDRBF use?
Our models discount Bombardier Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 2.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bombardier Inc that is +16.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bombardier Inc grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +16.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bombardier Inc (+16.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.98 %: that much free cash flow Bombardier Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bombardier Inc it is $146.17 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $217.01. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bombardier Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BDRBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $217.01, fair value $146.17, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BDRBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($217.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($146.17). For Bombardier Inc the two are $70.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bombardier Inc worth?
The market values Bombardier Inc at about $21.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $217.01; our models calculate a fair value of $146.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BDRBF?
Our models span a range for Bombardier Inc: cautious scenario $107.79, base $146.17, optimistic $205.31 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $217.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BDRBF?
Bombardier Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $146.17 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 28.1 (reported for FY2025: 23.2). Other multiples: PEG 9.9, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 18.6.
What is the PEG ratio of BDRBF?
The PEG ratio of Bombardier Inc is 9.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How far is BDRBF from its 52-week high?
Bombardier Inc trades at $217.01, about 18% below its 52-week high of $265.00 and 74% above the low of $125.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $146.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bombardier Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bombardier Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $217.01, calculated fair value $146.17 (−33%), Quality Score 57/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BDRBF calculated?
We run Bombardier Inc through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $146.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bombardier Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $217.01. Our model-based fair value is $146.17, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bombardier Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($205.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($107.79 to $205.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bombardier Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The market capitalisation of Bombardier Inc is $21.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bombardier Inc is 2.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Earnings per share at Bombardier Inc are $9.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The dividend yield of Bombardier Inc is 0.1% (payout 2.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The net margin of Bombardier Inc is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bombardier Inc is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
The operating margin of Bombardier Inc is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Revenue at Bombardier Inc is growing +5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bombardier Inc (BDRBF)?
Earnings per share at Bombardier Inc are growing +21.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bombardier Inc (BDRBF) carry?
The net debt of Bombardier Inc is $3.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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