Briscoe Group (BGP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$847M
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from A$5.06 to A$4.23 (−16.4%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −6.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.93 to A$5.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from A$2.93 (bear) to A$5.71 (bull), base A$4.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.12 – A$5.49 · fair‑value band A$2.93 – A$5.71 · the A$3.54 price screens below the A$4.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Briscoe Group (BGP) currently trades at A$3.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.23, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Briscoe Group generated revenue of A$799M at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. Net debt stands at A$145M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.93 (bear case) to A$5.71 (bull case); at A$3.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 19%, BGP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$4.87) versus Asset-Based (A$0.9200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Briscoe Group Limited engages in retailing homeware and sporting products in New Zealand. The company operates in two segments, Homeware and Sporting Goods. It operates stores under the Briscoes Homeware and Rebel Sport brand, as well as sells its products online. The company was founded in 1781 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.
Full company description
Briscoe Group Limited engages in retailing homeware and sporting products in New Zealand. The company operates in two segments, Homeware and Sporting Goods. It operates stores under the Briscoes Homeware and Rebel Sport brand, as well as sells its products online. The company was founded in 1781 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand. Briscoe Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of JB Were (NZ) Nominees Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Briscoe Group reported revenue of A$796M in FY2026 versus A$702M in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$59.0M in FY2026, compounding −5.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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