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Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Big Lots, Inc. $0.00, price $0.00, upside +0.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US

BL Big Lots, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Big Lots, Inc.

BIGGQ · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0001 · Fairly valued (+0.0%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.4% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$63.20 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $63.20 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Former BL Stores, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States.

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Former BL Stores, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States. The company offers products under various merchandising categories, such as furniture category that includes upholstery, mattresses, home décor, case goods, and ready-to-assemble departments; seasonal category, which comprises patio furniture, gazebos, Christmas trim, lawn and garden, and other holiday departments; soft home category consists of apparel, hosiery, jewelry; frames, fashion and utility bedding, bath, window, decorative textiles, and area rugs departments; and food category that includes beverages and grocery, specialty foods, and candy and snacks departments. It also provides merchandise under the consumables category, which comprises health, beauty and cosmetics, plastics, paper, pet, infant, stationery, and chemical departments; and hard home category, including small appliances, tabletops, food preparation products, home maintenance and organization products, toys, electronics departments, and other offerings. The company was formerly known as Big Lots, Inc. and changed its name to Former BL Stores, Inc. in September 2025. Former BL Stores, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. On November 10, 2025, the voluntary petition of Big Lots, Inc. for reorganization under Chapter 11 was converted to Chapter 7. It had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy along with its affiliates on September 9, 2024.

Stock analysis

Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Big Lots, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2024 versus $5.3B in FY2020, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$482M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap $8.9K · EPS (TTM) $−15.90 · Net margin −10.2% · Return on equity −620% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin −19.2% · Revenue (TTM) $4.5B · Revenue growth (YoY) −8.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 90% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 0%, BIGGQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Bull $0.0001
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.2% (2019) → −8.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Big Lots, Inc. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Discount Stores · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −19.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)33 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 83
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Walmart Inc WMT $107.98 $50.00 −54%
Costco Wholesale Corporation COST $922.77 $383.51 −58%
Target Corporation TGT $157.45 $120.18 −24%
Dollarama Inc DOL C$183.57 C$186.42 +2%
Dollar General Corporation DG $124.84 $118.21 −5%
Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART ₹3,834 ₹921.40 −76%
Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR $114.07 $128.97 +13%
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ $93.79 $82.28 −12%
BBB Foods Inc TBBB $53.56 $22.93 −57%
Pepco Group PCO 43.50 PLN 53.89 PLN +24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Big Lots, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIGGQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BIGGQ?
Our model-based fair value for Big Lots, Inc. is $0.0001 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0001.
What is the quality score of BIGGQ?
Big Lots, Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0001 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Big Lots, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0001, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.0001 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Big Lots, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Big Lots, Inc. it is $0.0001 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0001. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Big Lots, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BIGGQ trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0001, fair value $0.0001, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BIGGQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0001); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0001). For Big Lots, Inc. the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Big Lots, Inc. worth?
The market values Big Lots, Inc. at about $8.9K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0001; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0001 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Big Lots, Inc. (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BIGGQ from its 52-week high?
Big Lots, Inc. trades at $0.0001, about 90% below its 52-week high of $0.0010 and at the low of $0.0001 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0001 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Big Lots, Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Walmart Inc, Costco Wholesale Corporation, Target Corporation, Dollarama Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Big Lots, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0001, calculated fair value $0.0001 (+0%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BIGGQ calculated?
We run Big Lots, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0001, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Big Lots, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0001. Our model-based fair value is $0.0001, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Big Lots, Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Big Lots, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
The market capitalisation of Big Lots, Inc. is $8.9K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Earnings per share at Big Lots, Inc. are $−15.90. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
The net margin of Big Lots, Inc. is −10.2% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Big Lots, Inc. is −620% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Big Lots, Inc. is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
The operating margin of Big Lots, Inc. is −19.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ)?
Revenue at Big Lots, Inc. is growing −8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ) generate?
The free cash flow of Big Lots, Inc. is −$315M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Big Lots, Inc. (BIGGQ) carry?
The net debt of Big Lots, Inc. is $2.2B (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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