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Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk IDR 28, price IDR 187, upside -85.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · ID · ISIN ID1000106008

BD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bukit Darmo Property Tbk

BKDP · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 27.56 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -97.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

200.00 IDR 27.00 IDR Fair Value 27.56 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 27.00 IDR – 200.00 IDR · fair‑value band 20.56 IDR – 41.13 IDR · the 187.00 IDR price screens above the 27.56 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk engages in the construction, development, trade, and investment activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Mall, Construction, and Marketing Services segments.

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PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk engages in the construction, development, trade, and investment activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Mall, Construction, and Marketing Services segments. The company constructs and develops housing, apartments, offices, shops, recreational parks, and related facilities; and establishes and runs service bureaus for various activities, such as promotion, management, marketing, land selling, and purchase of buildings, apartments, offices, shops, and restaurants. It also designs, constructs, and maintains housing properties, hotels, apartments, offices, shops, and recreational parks, including restaurants, and associated facilities. The company was formerly known as PT Adhibaladika and changed its name to PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk in April 2007. PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) currently trades at 187.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 578.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 20.56 IDR (bear) to 41.13 IDR (bull), the price of 187.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bukit Darmo Property Tbk reported revenue of 36.8B IDR in FY2025 versus 23.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −35.6B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4T IDR (≈ $78.5M) · P/S ratio 30.4 · EPS (TTM) −4.83 IDR · Net margin −96.7% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% · Operating margin −87.3% · Revenue (TTM) 37.3B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 405% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −85%, BKDP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 20.56 IDR Fair Value 27.56 IDR Bull 41.13 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 20.56 IDR 27.56 IDR 41.13 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.56 IDR 27.56 IDR 41.13 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−147.9% (2020) → −90.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BKDP screens 578% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −97% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −87% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.93× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 236,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $141.05 $89.43 −37%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.37 €36.67 +111%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.33 €23.78 −6%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.78 HK$17.18 −60%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $335.36 $530.17 +58%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$13.50 −45%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.77 $6.17 −79%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.44 HK$56.43 +51%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.62 SGD 0.5000 SGD −81%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bukit Darmo Property Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKDP

Frequently asked questions

Is Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 27.56 IDR versus a price of 187.00 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BKDP?
Our model-based fair value for Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is 27.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 187.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BKDP?
Bukit Darmo Property Tbk has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 27.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 20.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 41.13 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bukit Darmo Property Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 27.56 IDR, about −85% upside versus a price of 187.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 20.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 41.13 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Bukit Darmo Property Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 37.3B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bukit Darmo Property Tbk it is 27.56 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 187.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bukit Darmo Property Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BKDP trades above its calculated fair value: price 187.00 IDR, fair value 27.56 IDR, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BKDP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (187.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (27.56 IDR). For Bukit Darmo Property Tbk the two are 159.44 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bukit Darmo Property Tbk worth?
The market values Bukit Darmo Property Tbk at about 1.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 187.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 27.56 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BKDP?
Our models span a range for Bukit Darmo Property Tbk: cautious scenario 20.56 IDR, base 27.56 IDR, optimistic 41.13 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 187.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BKDP from its 52-week high?
Bukit Darmo Property Tbk trades at 187.00 IDR, about 7% below its 52-week high of 200.00 IDR and 405% above the low of 37.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 27.56 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bukit Darmo Property Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bukit Darmo Property Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 187.00 IDR, calculated fair value 27.56 IDR (−85%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BKDP calculated?
We run Bukit Darmo Property Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 27.56 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Bukit Darmo Property Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 187.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 27.56 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bukit Darmo Property Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.13 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (20.56 IDR to 41.13 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The market capitalisation of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is 1.4T IDR (≈ $78.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is 30.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Earnings per share at Bukit Darmo Property Tbk are −4.83 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The net margin of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is −96.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
The operating margin of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is −87.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP)?
Revenue at Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) generate?
The free cash flow of Bukit Darmo Property Tbk is −25.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) hold?
Bukit Darmo Property Tbk holds more cash than debt, 3.3B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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