PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 1.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +35.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.13 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (20.56 IDR to 41.13 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 27.00 IDR – 169.00 IDR · fair‑value band 20.56 IDR – 41.13 IDR · the 169.00 IDR price screens above the 27.56 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk (BKDP) currently trades at 169.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 83.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk generated revenue of 37.3B IDR at a net margin of -97.4%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 20.56 IDR (bear case) to 41.13 IDR (bull case); at 169.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -84%, BKDP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk engages in the construction, development, trade, and investment activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Mall, Construction, and Marketing Services segments.
Full company description
PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk engages in the construction, development, trade, and investment activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Mall, Construction, and Marketing Services segments. The company constructs and develops housing, apartments, offices, shops, recreational parks, and related facilities; and establishes and runs service bureaus for various activities, such as promotion, management, marketing, land selling, and purchase of buildings, apartments, offices, shops, and restaurants. It also designs, constructs, and maintains housing properties, hotels, apartments, offices, shops, and recreational parks, including restaurants, and associated facilities. The company was formerly known as PT Adhibaladika and changed its name to PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk in April 2007. PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bukit Darmo Property Tbk reported revenue of 36.8B IDR in FY2025 versus 23.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −35.6B IDR in FY2025.
BKDP screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.92 | HK$34.92 | -13% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| WHA Corporation WHAR | 5.45 THB | 4.14 THB | -24% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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