EN DE
Data-driven stock valuation

BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $9.9B · ISIN US09625Q2075

At a glance

BS BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR logo BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR BLSFY · US
Price$106.89
Fair Value$42.33
Upside−60.4% ⚠
Quality54/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 153% above our fair value of $42.33.

As of Sep 7, 2026, the fair value of BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR is $42.33 per share against a price of $106.89, so the fair value sits 60% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.73% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $33.77 to $53.33

Fair value as of: Sep 7, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 7, 2026, revised from $20.70 to $42.33 (+104.5%) since Aug 13, 2026.

Watch BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($53.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$121.37 $22.05 Fair Value $42.33 Jan 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.05 – $121.37 · fair‑value band $33.77 – $53.33 · the $106.89 price screens above the $42.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY) currently trades at $106.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.33, implying the stock looks roughly 152.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $81.57 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $106.89 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.43, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR generated revenue of $16.6B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at $28.4M. Fundamentals as of Sep 7, 2026

Scenario range: $33.77 (bear) to $53.33 (bull), the price of $106.89 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −60%, BLSFY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.08 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $28.70 $39.24 $54.31 79
Growth DCF $29.09 $38.50 $51.21 77
EPV $12.78 $13.68 $14.46 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $28.70 $39.24 $54.31 79
5Y Revenue Exit $21.87 $28.49 $36.63 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $42.43 $66.31 $93.89 73
5Y P/E Exit $21.82 $28.40 $35.05 70
10Y Revenue Exit $23.93 $30.41 $38.55 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $36.99 $55.85 $80.60 66
10Y P/E Exit $24.23 $30.35 $37.39 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.50 $18.57 $24.48 63
Lynch FV $3.80 $5.43 $7.06 59
PEG = 1.0 $3.80 $5.43 $7.06 55
EPV $12.78 $13.68 $14.46 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $36.06 $71.85 $108.79 64
DDM Multi-Stage $36.06 $56.48 $75.84 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.19 $16.26 $20.32 63
P/S Multiple $12.19 $16.26 $20.32 58
P/B Multiple $12.19 $16.26 $20.32 55
EV/EBIT $20.28 $24.69 $29.10 66
EV/EBITDA $56.08 $72.42 $88.77 67
EV/Revenue $18.52 $23.43 $28.35 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $60.87 $81.57 $121.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.09 $38.50 $51.21 77
Rev-Margin DCF $21.87 $28.75 $36.59 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $81.89 $76.50 $53.51 74
ROIC Compounder $12.78 $13.68 $14.46 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.01 $14.30 $18.60 65

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($81.57) versus Earnings-Based ($5.43). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

Notify me when BLSFY reaches fair value

Put BLSFY on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 52.7
P/S ratio 0.27 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.03 price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.7
Dividend yield 3.7% payout 196%
Net margin 0.5% FY2025
Return on equity 3.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $16.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0% 3y avg −5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +119%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $180M FY2025
Net debt $28.4M FY2025 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

BlueScope Steel Limited engages in the production and marketing of metal-coated and painted steel building products in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and North America.

Full company description

BlueScope Steel Limited engages in the production and marketing of metal-coated and painted steel building products in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and North America. The company operates through five segments: Australian Steel Products, North Star BlueScope Steel, Buildings and Coated Products North America, Coated Products Asia, and New Zealand & Pacific Islands. It offers coated and painted flat steel products, including zinc/aluminium alloy coated steel; and galvanized and zinc/aluminium alloy coated pre-painted steel, as well as manufactures pipes and tubes. The company is also involved in the supply of hot rolled coils; the provision of engineered building solutions, such as coil paintings; and the development of industrial properties, primarily warehouses and distribution centres. In addition, it provides metal coating, painting, and steel building solutions; and steel slabs, billets, plates, cold-rolled coils, reinforcing coils, rods, wires, and bars, as well as value-added coated and painted steel solutions, as well as operates ferrous and non-ferrous scrap metal recyclers. Further, the company offers its products under the COLORBOND, COLORSTEEL, TRUECORE, ZINCALUME, TRU-SPEC, LYSAGHT, FIELDERS, Orrcon Steel, BUTLER, and VARCO PRUDEN brand names for residential and non-residential building, construction, automotive, manufacturing, infrastructure, packaging, transport, agriculture, and mining industries. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as BHP Steel Limited and changed its name to BlueScope Steel Limited in November 2003. BlueScope Steel Limited was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR reported revenue of A$16.3B in FY2025 versus A$12.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$83.8M in FY2025, compounding −48.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.3B
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−33.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−36.7%
Dividend yield3.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −36.7% vs 10Y −7.6%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.7% (2020) → 0.7% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop1,272% (2011) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 A$12.9B
FY22 A$19.0B
FY23 A$18.2B
FY24 A$17.1B
FY25 A$16.3B
Net income −48.5%/yr
FY21 A$1.2B
FY22 A$2.8B
FY23 A$1.0B
FY24 A$806M
FY25 A$83.8M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +15.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.4 %

of which total revenue +8.2 % · buybacks/dilution +3.0 %

EBIT margin +0.4 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BLSFY screens 153% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR · Fair Value
$42.33 −153%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLSFY

Peer Group

Steel · 401 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 55.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+21.2 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+7.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.2 %
FCF yield on price1.90 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.3 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 12
FUTURE20 · sector 2
PAST14 · sector 16
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND75 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $261.07 $116.05 −56%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €67.54 €45.93 −32%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 −14%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $234.67 $127.14 −46%
500228 500228 ₹1,292 ₹1,079 −16%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹188.79 ₹145.39 −23%
Reliance, Inc RS $387.59 $217.81 −44%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.91 ¥8.07 +37%
POSCO Holdings PKX $63.13 $85.21 +35%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 −61%

Compare BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark

Frequently asked questions

Is BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.33 versus a price of $106.89, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BLSFY?
Our model-based fair value for BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR is $42.33 (as of Sep 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $106.89.
What is the quality score of BLSFY?
BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $42.33 (as of Sep 7, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $33.77, optimistic scenario $53.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $42.33, about −60% upside versus a price of $106.89 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $33.77, optimistic scenario $53.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY)?
BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BLSFY?
The net profit margin of BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR (BLSFY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +21.2 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Sep 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLSFY use?
Our models discount BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.22, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
Free · no account needed

Watch BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR in the live analysis

One click puts BlueScope Steel Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.