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BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $9.9B

BS BlueScope Steel Limited logo BlueScope Steel Limited BLSFY · US
Price$106.89
Fair Value$20.70
Upside-80.6%
Quality58/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $16.57 – $26.12 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $20.44 to $20.70 (+1.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$121.37 $55.80 Fair Value $20.70 Jan 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $55.80 – $121.37 · fair‑value band $16.57 – $26.12 · the $106.89 price screens above the $20.70 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) currently trades at $106.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.70, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, BlueScope Steel Limited generated revenue of $16.6B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at $28.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.57 (bear case) to $26.12 (bull case); at $106.89, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -81%, BLSFY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $16.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow $180M FY2025
P/E ratio 55.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.03
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +119%
Net debt $28.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

BlueScope Steel Limited engages in the production and marketing of metal-coated and painted steel building products in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and North America. The company operates through five segments: Australian Steel Products, North Star BlueScope Steel, Buildings and Coated Products North America, Coated Products Asia, and New Zealand & Pacific Islands. It offers coated and painted flat steel products, including zinc/aluminium alloy coated steel; and galvanized and zinc/aluminium alloy coated pre-painted steel, as well as manufactures pipes and tubes. The company is also involved in the supply of hot rolled coils; the provision of engineered building solutions, such as coil paintings; and the development of industrial properties, primarily warehouses and distribution centres. In addition, it provides metal coating, painting, and steel building solutions; and steel slabs, billets, plates, cold-rolled coils, reinforcing coils, rods, wires, and bars, as well as …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlueScope Steel Limited reported revenue of $16.3B in FY2025 versus $12.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $83.8M in FY2025, compounding −48.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 $12.9B
FY22 $19.0B
FY23 $18.2B
FY24 $17.1B
FY25 $16.3B
Net income −48.5%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $806M
FY25 $83.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlueScope Steel Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLSFY

Recent news

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Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation N1UE34 R$110.09 R$38.41 -65%
ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 R$166.77 R$110.23 -34%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,282 ₹1,113 -13%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹193.56 ₹148.08 -23%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.74 ¥6.34 +10%
POSCO Holdings 005490 363,000 KRW 143,097 KRW -61%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 3,789 ARS -72%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,779 ₹1,314 -26%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.26 kr 63.08 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.70 versus a price of $106.89, about −81% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BLSFY?
Our model-based fair value for BlueScope Steel Limited is $20.70 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $106.89.
What is the quality score of BLSFY?
BlueScope Steel Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY)?
BlueScope Steel Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BLSFY?
The net profit margin of BlueScope Steel Limited is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BlueScope Steel Limited pay a dividend?
BlueScope Steel Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.