BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $9.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $20.44 to $20.70 (+1.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $55.80 – $121.37 · fair‑value band $16.57 – $26.12 · the $106.89 price screens above the $20.70 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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BlueScope Steel Limited (BLSFY) currently trades at $106.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.70, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, BlueScope Steel Limited generated revenue of $16.6B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at $28.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.57 (bear case) to $26.12 (bull case); at $106.89, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -81%, BLSFY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BlueScope Steel Limited engages in the production and marketing of metal-coated and painted steel building products in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and North America. The company operates through five segments: Australian Steel Products, North Star BlueScope Steel, Buildings and Coated Products North America, Coated Products Asia, and New Zealand & Pacific Islands. It offers coated and painted flat steel products, including zinc/aluminium alloy coated steel; and galvanized and zinc/aluminium alloy coated pre-painted steel, as well as manufactures pipes and tubes. The company is also involved in the supply of hot rolled coils; the provision of engineered building solutions, such as coil paintings; and the development of industrial properties, primarily warehouses and distribution centres. In addition, it provides metal coating, painting, and steel building solutions; and steel slabs, billets, plates, cold-rolled coils, reinforcing coils, rods, wires, and bars, as well as …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BlueScope Steel Limited reported revenue of $16.3B in FY2025 versus $12.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $83.8M in FY2025, compounding −48.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Sicona lands $45M ARENA grant to open battery materials production facility in Wollongong
- Steel Dynamics Weighs BlueScope Deal As New Aluminum Assets Come Online
- Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Increases Its Quarterly Cash Dividend by 6% to $0.53 Per Share
- BlueScope Says $11 Billion Steel Dynamics, SGH Takeover Offer Insufficient
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$110.09 | R$38.41 | -65% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$166.77 | R$110.23 | -34% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,282 | ₹1,113 | -13% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹193.56 | ₹148.08 | -23% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.74 | ¥6.34 | +10% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 363,000 KRW | 143,097 KRW | -61% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 3,789 ARS | -72% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,779 | ₹1,314 | -26% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.26 | kr 63.08 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.