B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of B&M European Value Retail S.A $4.79, price $3.33, upside +43.8%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.95 – $6.67 · fair‑value band $3.59 – $6.23 · the $3.33 price screens below the $4.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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B&M European Value Retail plc retails general merchandise products and groceries. The company operates a chain of stores under the B&M, Heron Foods, and B&M Express brand names in the United Kingdom, as well as stores under the B&M brand name in France. It also offers property management services.
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B&M European Value Retail plc retails general merchandise products and groceries. The company operates a chain of stores under the B&M, Heron Foods, and B&M Express brand names in the United Kingdom, as well as stores under the B&M brand name in France. It also offers property management services. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Munsbach, Luxembourg.
Stock analysis
B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) currently trades at $3.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.79, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $9.32 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the $3.33 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.7100, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.59 (bear) to $6.23 (bull), the price of $3.33 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
B&M European Value Retail S.A reported revenue of £5.8B in FY2026 versus £4.7B in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was £164M in FY2026, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) $0.2200 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 44%, BMRPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.59Fair Value $4.79Bull $6.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0632 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.2% vs −0.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.2% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Compare B&M European Value Retail S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Discount Stores · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Below median
Fair Value upside+60.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21.2% · Above median
Return on assets5.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B3.17× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "B&M European Value Retail S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMRPF
Frequently asked questions
Is B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.79 versus a price of $3.33, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BMRPF?
Our model-based fair value for B&M European Value Retail S.A is $4.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.33.
What is the quality score of BMRPF?
B&M European Value Retail S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.59, optimistic scenario $6.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the B&M European Value Retail S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.79, about +44% upside versus a price of $3.33 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.59, optimistic scenario $6.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
B&M European Value Retail S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £5.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does B&M European Value Retail S.A pay a dividend?
B&M European Value Retail S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, B&M European Value Retail S.A would have to grow free cash flow by -11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BMRPF use?
Our models discount B&M European Value Retail S.A at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For B&M European Value Retail S.A that is -11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at B&M European Value Retail S.A grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies -11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into B&M European Value Retail S.A (-11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.16 %: that much free cash flow B&M European Value Retail S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For B&M European Value Retail S.A it is $4.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.33. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is B&M European Value Retail S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BMRPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.33, fair value $4.79, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMRPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.79). For B&M European Value Retail S.A the two are $1.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is B&M European Value Retail S.A worth?
The market values B&M European Value Retail S.A at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.33; our models calculate a fair value of $4.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMRPF?
Our models span a range for B&M European Value Retail S.A: cautious scenario $3.59, base $4.79, optimistic $6.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BMRPF?
B&M European Value Retail S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 3.2, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
What is the PEG ratio of BMRPF?
The PEG ratio of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 1.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for B&M European Value Retail S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.2%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMRPF from its 52-week high?
B&M European Value Retail S.A trades at $3.33, at its 52-week high of $3.33 and 68% above the low of $1.98 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to B&M European Value Retail S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Walmart Inc, Costco Wholesale Corporation, Target Corporation, Dollarama Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is B&M European Value Retail S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.33, calculated fair value $4.79 (+44%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMRPF calculated?
We run B&M European Value Retail S.A through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. B&M European Value Retail S.A currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.33. Our model-based fair value is $4.79, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with B&M European Value Retail S.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) come from?
Earnings per share at B&M European Value Retail S.A grew +8.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.0 %, EBIT margin +1.3 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of B&M European Value Retail S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The market capitalisation of B&M European Value Retail S.A is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 0.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Earnings per share at B&M European Value Retail S.A are $0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The dividend yield of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 2.9% (payout 43.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The net margin of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 2.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 14.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
The operating margin of B&M European Value Retail S.A is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Revenue at B&M European Value Retail S.A is growing +3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF)?
Earnings per share at B&M European Value Retail S.A are growing −43.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does B&M European Value Retail S.A (BMRPF) carry?
The net debt of B&M European Value Retail S.A is £2.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026