Bonava AB (BONAV-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 3.1B SEK (≈ $325M) · ISIN SE0008091581
What is Bonava AB really worth?
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of kr 11.09.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 6.06 to kr 16.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 7.29 – kr 104.92 · fair‑value band kr 6.06 – kr 16.12 · the kr 10.22 price screens below the kr 11.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Bonava AB (BONAV-B) currently trades at kr 10.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 11.09, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 15.55 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 10.22 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 6.70, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bonava AB generated revenue of 7.3B SEK at a net margin of −0.5%. Revenue declined 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.5%. Net debt stands at 3.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.06 (bear case) to kr 16.12 (bull case); at kr 10.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 9%, BONAV-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 15.55) versus Growth DCF (kr 6.70). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Bonava AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a residential developer in Germany, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The company constructs, develops, and sells multi-family and single-family homes, as well as semi-detached houses. It serves consumers and institutional investors.
Full company description
Bonava AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a residential developer in Germany, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The company constructs, develops, and sells multi-family and single-family homes, as well as semi-detached houses. It serves consumers and institutional investors. The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bonava AB reported revenue of 7.7B SEK in FY2025 versus 14.7B SEK in FY2021, a compound −14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −89.0M SEK in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Residential Construction · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc DHI | $145.26 | $213.23 | +47% |
| PulteGroup, Inc PHM | $126.75 | $190.17 | +50% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $85.11 | $116.80 | +37% |
| NVR, Inc NVR | $6,396 | $7,821 | +22% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $146.22 | $221.32 | +51% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $72.45 | $136.88 | +89% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $237.70 | $209.51 | −12% |
| Meritage Homes Corporation MTH | $71.06 | $102.94 | +45% |
| Champion Homes, Inc SKY | $93.88 | $75.12 | −20% |
| Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO | $598.38 | $421.10 | −30% |
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