Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund stock C$26.64, price C$20.11, upside +32.5%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$9.22 – C$25.30 · fair‑value band C$16.80 – C$39.25 · the C$20.11 price screens below the C$26.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund operates as an open-ended limited purpose trust company in Canada. The company acquires trademarks and trade names owned by Boston Pizza International Inc. It also operates and franchises restaurants under the Boston Pizza brand name.
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The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Richmond, Canada. Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund operates as a subsidiary of James Treliving Holdings Ltd.
Stock analysis
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) currently trades at C$20.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$26.64, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$37.32 per share, and 11 of the 23 models we run sit above the C$20.11 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$11.20, and 12 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$16.80 (bear) to C$39.25 (bull), the price of C$20.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund reported revenue of C$51.9M in FY2025 versus C$35.2M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$42.2M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$494M (≈ $350M) Small · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 9.39 · EPS (TTM) C$1.86 · Dividend yield 7.2% · Net margin 75.3% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 32%, BPF-UN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$16.80Fair Value C$26.64BullC$39.25
Price C$20.11 · Upside +32.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.3243 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.8% vs 6.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.82% → 125%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.7% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 207 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+32.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.6% · Above median
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)75.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)96.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPF-UN
Frequently asked questions
Is Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$26.64 versus a price of C$20.11, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BPF-UN?
Our model-based fair value for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is C$26.64 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$20.11.
What is the quality score of BPF-UN?
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$26.64 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$16.80, optimistic scenario C$39.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$26.64, about +32% upside versus a price of C$20.11 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$16.80, optimistic scenario C$39.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$52.6M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund pay a dividend?
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund currently shows a dividend yield of 7.24% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund would have to grow free cash flow by +11.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BPF-UN use?
Our models discount Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund that is +11.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +11.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (+11.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.04 %: that much free cash flow Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund it is C$26.64 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of C$20.11. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, BPF-UN trades below its calculated fair value: price C$20.11, fair value C$26.64, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BPF-UN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$20.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$26.64). For Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund the two are C$6.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund worth?
The market values Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund at about C$494M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is C$20.11; our models calculate a fair value of C$26.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BPF-UN?
Our models span a range for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund: cautious scenario C$16.80, base C$26.64, optimistic C$39.25 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price C$20.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BPF-UN?
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$26.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 9.4, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BPF-UN from its 52-week high?
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund trades at C$20.11, about 21% below its 52-week high of C$25.30 and 7% above the low of C$18.81 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$26.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price C$20.11, calculated fair value C$26.64 (+32%), Quality Score 72/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BPF-UN calculated?
We run Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$26.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was C$20.11. Our model-based fair value is C$26.64, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (C$16.80 to C$39.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) come from?
Earnings per share at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund grew +1.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.4 %, EBIT margin −0.2 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund
How large is the market capitalisation of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The market capitalisation of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is C$494M (≈ $350M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 9.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Earnings per share at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund are C$1.86 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The dividend yield of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 7.2% (payout 78.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The net margin of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 75.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
The operating margin of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is 96.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Revenue at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN)?
Earnings per share at Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund are growing −77.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF-UN) carry?
The net debt of Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is C$138M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 2, 2026