bpost SA/NV (BPOSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of bpost SA/NV $1.45, price $1.34, upside +8.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.34 – $21.04 · fair‑value band $0.9038 – $2.21 · the $1.34 price screens below the $1.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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bpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides parcel logistics solutions in Belgium, France, the Netherlands, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: BU Bpost, BU Paxon, and BU Landmark Global.
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bpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides parcel logistics solutions in Belgium, France, the Netherlands, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: BU Bpost, BU Paxon, and BU Landmark Global. The company offers postal, parcel, and logistics services, including in-shop delivery, in-home installations, two-man handling, and return/repair/recycle services, as well as cross-border and transportation management services. It also provides e-commerce logistics; fulfillment services; back-office; and proximity and convenience services, as well as sells various banking and financial, postal, and retail products. In addition, the company engages in the distribution of magazines, comics, novels, and puzzle books; automation and the deployment of robots for webshops; customized last-mile and outsourced supply-chain solutions; and repair of smartphones, drones, and coffee machines, as well as delivering and installation of white goods, smart home devices, and furniture. Further, it is involved in express deliveries; freight breakdown, sorting and processing of freight, import and export customs activities, and freight forwarding; freight distribution management systems and warehousing; storage, logistics, and distribution of refrigerated and frozen products; and administrative and financial document services. The company was formerly known as De Post-La Poste and changed its name to bpost NV/SA in June 2010. bpost NV/SA was founded in 1830 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
Stock analysis
bpost SA/NV (BPOSF) currently trades at $1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.45, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $4.38 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $1.34 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.59, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.9038 (bear) to $2.21 (bull), the price of $1.34 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
bpost SA/NV reported revenue of €4.5B in FY2025 versus €4.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $398M · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2000 · Dividend yield 6.6% · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 8%, BPOSF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9038Fair Value $1.45Bull $2.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.4% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → 1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
P/B0.56× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "bpost SA/NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPOSF
Frequently asked questions
Is bpost SA/NV (BPOSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.45 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.34, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BPOSF?
Our model-based fair value for bpost SA/NV is $1.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.34.
What is the quality score of BPOSF?
bpost SA/NV has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9038, optimistic scenario $2.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the bpost SA/NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.45, about +8% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.34 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.9038, optimistic scenario $2.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
bpost SA/NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does bpost SA/NV pay a dividend?
bpost SA/NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For bpost SA/NV it is $1.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.34. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is bpost SA/NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BPOSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.34, fair value $1.45, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BPOSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.45). For bpost SA/NV the two are $0.1075 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is bpost SA/NV worth?
The market values bpost SA/NV at about $398M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.34; our models calculate a fair value of $1.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BPOSF?
Our models span a range for bpost SA/NV: cautious scenario $0.9038, base $1.45, optimistic $2.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for bpost SA/NV (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.4%, debt of 4.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BPOSF from its 52-week high?
bpost SA/NV trades at $1.34, about 74% below its 52-week high of $5.06 and at the low of $1.34 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to bpost SA/NV?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is bpost SA/NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.34, calculated fair value $1.45 (+8%), Quality Score 49/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BPOSF calculated?
We run bpost SA/NV through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. bpost SA/NV currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.34. Our model-based fair value is $1.45, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with bpost SA/NV right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.9038 to $2.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of bpost SA/NV
How large is the market capitalisation of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The market capitalisation of bpost SA/NV is $398M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of bpost SA/NV is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Earnings per share at bpost SA/NV are $−0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The dividend yield of bpost SA/NV is 6.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The net margin of bpost SA/NV is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of bpost SA/NV is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of bpost SA/NV is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
The operating margin of bpost SA/NV is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Revenue at bpost SA/NV is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at bpost SA/NV (BPOSF)?
Earnings per share at bpost SA/NV are growing −96.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does bpost SA/NV (BPOSF) generate?
The free cash flow of bpost SA/NV is €303M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does bpost SA/NV (BPOSF) carry?
The net debt of bpost SA/NV is €1.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026