Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited THB 1.00, price THB 0.61, upside +63.9%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited engages in the manufacturing and distribution of deformed and round steel bars in Thailand. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) currently trades at 0.6100 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.9600 THB per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.6100 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.6800 THB, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.8600 THB (bear) to 1.09 THB (bull), the price of 0.6100 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited reported revenue of 247M THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2021, a compound −35.0%/yr. Reported net income was −69.8M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 684M THB (≈ $20.4M) · P/S ratio 2.00 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 THB · Net margin −28.2% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −14.7% · Revenue (TTM) 353M THB.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 64%, BSBM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.8600 THBFair Value 1.00 THBBull 1.09 THB
Price 0.6100 THB · Upside +63.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −19.1% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.8% (2020) → −22.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.
Compare Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+63.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−17.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BSBM
Frequently asked questions
Is Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.00 THB versus a price of 0.6100 THB, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BSBM?
Our model-based fair value for Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is 1.00 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6100 THB.
What is the quality score of BSBM?
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.00 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8600 THB, optimistic scenario 1.09 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.00 THB, about +64% upside versus a price of 0.6100 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.8600 THB, optimistic scenario 1.09 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 353M THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -30.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BSBM use?
Our models discount Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited that is -9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited grew -30.7 % a year. The price currently implies -9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (-9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.48 %: that much free cash flow Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited it is 1.00 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 0.6100 THB. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BSBM trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.6100 THB, fair value 1.00 THB, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BSBM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6100 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.00 THB). For Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited the two are 0.3900 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited at about 684M THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.6100 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.00 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BSBM?
Our models span a range for Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.8600 THB, base 1.00 THB, optimistic 1.09 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 0.6100 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BSBM?
The PEG ratio of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is 0.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −3.8%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BSBM from its 52-week high?
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited trades at 0.6100 THB, about 16% below its 52-week high of 0.7300 THB and 11% above the low of 0.5500 THB (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.00 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 0.6100 THB, calculated fair value 1.00 THB (+64%), Quality Score 69/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BSBM calculated?
We run Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.00 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was 0.6100 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.00 THB, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.8600 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The market capitalisation of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is 684M THB (≈ $20.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is 2.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Earnings per share at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited are −0.0600 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The net margin of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is −28.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
The operating margin of Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is −14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Revenue at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited is growing −10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM)?
Earnings per share at Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited are growing −32.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited (BSBM) hold?
Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 745M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Bangsaphan Barmill Public Company Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
