Capral Limited (CAA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$168M

A solid business, screening 92% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$15.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range (A$15.26 to A$29.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$5.22 – A$12.84 · fair‑value band A$15.26 – A$29.36 · the A$11.74 price screens below the A$22.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Capral Limited (CAA) currently trades at A$11.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$22.58, implying the stock looks roughly 92.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Capral Limited generated revenue of A$634M at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. Net debt stands at A$67.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$15.26 (bear case) to A$29.36 (bull case); at A$11.74, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 92%, CAA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$38.23) versus Dividend Discount (A$4.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Capral Limited, together with its subsidiary, Austex Dies Pty Ltd, manufactures and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum-related products in Australia.

Full company description

Capral Limited, together with its subsidiary, Austex Dies Pty Ltd, manufactures and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum-related products in Australia. The company offers aluminum systems for windows, doors, framing, curtain walls, window and door hardware, showers and robes, fencing, sunshades and fixed louvres, cladding, Qubelok light fabrication, seating, landscaping, scaffolding, and balustrading. It also provides extrusions, sheets, plates and coils, and treadplates. The company offers its products under the Urban Comfort, Urban, Urban Plus, Artisan, Futureline, AGS Commercial, Edge, Caprio, Caprice, Ventus, Envy, Elegance, AB Pivot, Magic Touch, Lumière, Amplimesh, Aquago, Qubelok, Quiklok, CA55 Aluminium Cladding, and Garden Edge brands. It serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was formerly known as Capral Aluminium Limited and changed its name to Capral Limited in April 2008. Capral Limited was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Bundamba, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Capral Limited reported revenue of A$686M in FY2025 versus A$551M in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$35.6M in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.