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The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.1K

TC The Castle Group Inc logo The Castle Group Inc CAGU · US
Price$0.0010
Fair Value$0.0010
Upside+0.0%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0010 – $0.0010 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $0.0010 (bear) to $0.0010 (bull), base $0.0010. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.7500 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0010 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.7500 · the $0.0010 price screens below the $0.0010 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) currently trades at $0.0010, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0010, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Castle Group Inc generated revenue of $26.8M at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high and 233% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 0%, CAGU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0079 $0.0107 $0.0139 80
Residual Income $0.0007 $0.0007 $0.0006 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0044 $0.0058 $0.0075 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0079 $0.0112 $0.0152 38
Owner Earnings $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0044 $0.0056 $0.0071 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0049 $0.0066 $0.0084 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.0038 $0.0046 $0.0053 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0059 $0.0073 $0.0090 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0062 $0.0079 $0.0098 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.0056 $0.0066 $0.0078 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0003 $0.0010 $0.0013 54
Lynch FV $0.0002 $0.0003 $0.0004 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.0002 $0.0003 $0.0004 46
EPV $0.0010 $0.0011 $0.0012 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0007 $0.0010 $0.0013 63
P/S Multiple $0.0006 $0.0008 $0.0010 58
P/B Multiple $0.0006 $0.0008 $0.0010 55
EV/EBIT $0.0026 $0.0035 $0.0044 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0029 $0.0039 $0.0048 54
EV/Revenue $0.0018 $0.0026 $0.0033 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0005 $0.0007 $0.0011 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0079 $0.0107 $0.0139 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0044 $0.0058 $0.0075 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0007 $0.0007 $0.0006 76
ROIC Compounder $0.0010 $0.0012 $0.0013 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0006 $0.0009 $0.0012 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0066) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0003). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $26.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow $2.2M FY2017
Operating margin 6.1%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +841%
Net debt $378K FY2017

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name.

Full company description

The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name. It manages luxury and mid-range resort condominiums, townhomes, villas and hotels on various islands in the state of Hawaii; and a property located in New Zealand. The company also provides reservations staffing and operation, advertising, sales and marketing, and accounting services to property owners. The Castle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2013 – FY2017 · reported fiscal years

The Castle Group Inc reported revenue of $26.3M in FY2017 versus $23.9M in FY2013, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $106K in FY2017, compounding −14.9%/yr from FY2013.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2017)
$26.3M
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY13 $23.9M
FY14 $24.5M
FY15 $24.2M
FY16 $26.3M
FY17 $26.3M
Net income −14.9%/yr
FY13 $202K
FY14 $650K
FY15 $175K
FY16 $289K
FY17 $106K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Castle Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAGU

Peer Group

Lodging · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.76× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 39 · sector 19
PAST 50 · sector 11
HEALTH 12 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $354.58 $132.35 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $322.53 $122.02 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 -74%
H World Group HTHT $41.25 $47.78 +16%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹724.00 ₹253.67 -65%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 118,200 KRW 36,890 KRW -69%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%
Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 81.95 SAR 36.25 SAR -56%
Minor International Public Company MINT 22.90 THB 32.82 THB +43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0010 versus a price of $0.0010, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CAGU?
Our model-based fair value for The Castle Group Inc is $0.0010 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0010.
What is the quality score of CAGU?
The Castle Group Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The Castle Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.8M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAGU?
The net profit margin of The Castle Group Inc is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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