The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of The Castle Group Inc $0.00, price $0.00, upside +0.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.7500 · the $0.0011 price screens below the $0.0011 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name.
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The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name. It manages luxury and mid-range resort condominiums, townhomes, villas and hotels on various islands in the state of Hawaii; and a property located in New Zealand. The company also provides reservations staffing and operation, advertising, sales and marketing, and accounting services to property owners. The Castle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Stock analysis
The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) currently trades at $0.0011, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0011, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.0077 per share, and 15 of the 23 models we run sit above the $0.0011 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0007, and 8 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
The Castle Group Inc reported revenue of $26.3M in FY2017 versus $23.9M in FY2013, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $106K in FY2017, compounding −14.9%/yr from FY2013.
Key figures
Market cap $11.1K · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 6.1% · Revenue (TTM) $26.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8% · EPS growth (YoY) +841%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 175% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 0%, CAGU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0011Fair Value $0.0011Bull $0.0011
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.4% vs −11.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2012 to 2017 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 158 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Castle Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAGU
Frequently asked questions
Is The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0011 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0011, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CAGU?
Our model-based fair value for The Castle Group Inc is $0.0011 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0011.
What is the quality score of CAGU?
The Castle Group Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0011 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Castle Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0011, about +0% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0011 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The Castle Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Castle Group Inc it is $0.0011 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0011. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Castle Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CAGU trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0011, fair value $0.0011, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAGU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0011); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0011). For The Castle Group Inc the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Castle Group Inc worth?
The market values The Castle Group Inc at about $11.1K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0011; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0011 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Castle Group Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 1.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAGU from its 52-week high?
The Castle Group Inc trades at $0.0011, at its 52-week high of $0.0011 and 175% above the low of $0.0004 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0011 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Castle Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Castle Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0011, calculated fair value $0.0011 (+0%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAGU calculated?
We run The Castle Group Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0011, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Castle Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0011. Our model-based fair value is $0.0011, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Castle Group Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of The Castle Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The market capitalisation of The Castle Group Inc is $11.1K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The net margin of The Castle Group Inc is 0.4% (fiscal year 2017). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Castle Group Inc is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Castle Group Inc is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
The operating margin of The Castle Group Inc is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
Revenue at The Castle Group Inc is growing +7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Castle Group Inc (CAGU)?
Earnings per share at The Castle Group Inc are growing +841% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) generate?
The free cash flow of The Castle Group Inc is $2.2M (fiscal year 2017). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) carry?
The net debt of The Castle Group Inc is $378K (fiscal year 2017, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026