The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.1K
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $0.0010 (bear) to $0.0010 (bull), base $0.0010. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.7500 · the $0.0010 price screens below the $0.0010 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
The Castle Group Inc (CAGU) currently trades at $0.0010, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0010, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Castle Group Inc generated revenue of $26.8M at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades near its 52-week high and 233% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 0%, CAGU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0066) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0003). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name.
Full company description
The Castle Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the hotel and resort management industry in the state of Hawaii, New Zealand, and the Commonwealth of Saipan under the Castle Resorts and Hotels trade name. It manages luxury and mid-range resort condominiums, townhomes, villas and hotels on various islands in the state of Hawaii; and a property located in New Zealand. The company also provides reservations staffing and operation, advertising, sales and marketing, and accounting services to property owners. The Castle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2013 – FY2017 · reported fiscal years
The Castle Group Inc reported revenue of $26.3M in FY2017 versus $23.9M in FY2013, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $106K in FY2017, compounding −14.9%/yr from FY2013.
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Peer Group
Lodging · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $354.58 | $132.35 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $322.53 | $122.02 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | -74% |
| H World Group HTHT | $41.25 | $47.78 | +16% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹724.00 | ₹253.67 | -65% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 118,200 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -69% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
| Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 | 81.95 SAR | 36.25 SAR | -56% |
| Minor International Public Company MINT | 22.90 THB | 32.82 THB | +43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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