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CBL & Associates Properties, Inc (CBL) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.5B

CA CBL & Associates Properties, Inc logo CBL & Associates Properties, Inc CBL · US
Price$56.55
Fair Value$30.75
Upside-45.6%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 29.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.70% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $18.17 – $55.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($55.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($18.17 to $55.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.05 $15.24 Fair Value $30.75 Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $15.24 – $60.05 · fair‑value band $18.17 – $55.42 · the $56.55 price screens above the $30.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc (CBL) currently trades at $56.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.75, implying the stock looks roughly 45.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CBL & Associates Properties, Inc generated revenue of $583M at a net margin of 29.8%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 51.4%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.17 (bear case) to $55.42 (bull case); at $56.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -46%, CBL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $23.95 $30.90 $140.81 76
Gordon GGM $19.36 $20.87 $23.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $19.36 $23.04 $27.80 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.12 $37.51 41
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.36 $20.87 $23.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $19.36 $23.04 $27.80 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $56.02 $74.70 $93.37 58
P/B Multiple $18.17 $24.23 $30.29 55
EV/EBIT $5.74 $30.58 $55.42 53
EV/EBITDA $5.87 $30.75 $55.64 54
EV/Revenue $7.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.06 $8.12 $12.12 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $23.95 $30.90 $140.81 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($30.90) versus DCF Models ($2.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $583M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.0%
Net margin 29.8%
Return on equity 51.4%
Free cash flow $71.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.7
More key figures
Operating margin 23.8%
EPS (TTM) $5.55
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +449%
Net debt $2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. owns and manages a national portfolio of market-dominant properties located in dynamic and growing communities.

Full company description

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. owns and manages a national portfolio of market-dominant properties located in dynamic and growing communities. CBL's owned and managed portfolio is comprised of 88 properties totaling 55.6 million square feet across 23 states, including 56 high-quality enclosed malls, outlet centers and lifestyle retail centers as well as more than 25 open-air centers and other assets. CBL seeks to continuously strengthen its company and portfolio through active management, aggressive leasing and profitable reinvestment in its properties. CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. is headquartered in Chattanooga, TN. CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 in Delaware, USA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CBL & Associates Properties, Inc reported revenue of $578M in FY2025 versus $577M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $136M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$578M
Latest YoY
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−1.4%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 $577M
FY22 $563M
FY23 $535M
FY24 $516M
FY25 $578M
Net income
FY21 −$622M
FY22 −$93.5M
FY23 $6.5M
FY24 $59.0M
FY25 $136M

CBL screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CBL & Associates Properties, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBL

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 5.79× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.55× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 15 · sector 22
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is CBL & Associates Properties, Inc (CBL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.75 versus a price of $56.55, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBL?
Our model-based fair value for CBL & Associates Properties, Inc is $30.75 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $56.55.
What is the quality score of CBL?
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CBL & Associates Properties, Inc (CBL)?
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $583M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CBL?
The net profit margin of CBL & Associates Properties, Inc is about 29.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CBL & Associates Properties, Inc pay a dividend?
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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