Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.87 – $34.32 · fair‑value band $9.11 – $17.97 · the $25.06 price screens above the $12.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan.
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Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan. The company manufactures and sells food products; operates vending machines; distributes and sells alcoholic products; and manufactures, processes, and sells beverage products and office coffee services. In addition, it provides shared services to support the sales of nonessential, alcoholic, and dairy beverages, as well as food products; and imports, exports, and sells beverage products, nonessential beverage products, and other beverage products. The company offers its products under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Real Gold, Georgia, Aquarius, Qoo, Sokenbicha, Huang, and Kochakaden brand names. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc. and changed its name to Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. in January 2018. Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) currently trades at $25.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.94, implying the stock looks roughly 93.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $13.02 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $25.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.40, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $9.11 (bear) to $17.97 (bull), the price of $25.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc reported revenue of ¥894B in FY2025 versus ¥786B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥50.8B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.2B · P/E ratio 131.9 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin −5.7% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin −1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −48%, CCOJF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $9.11Fair Value $12.94Bull $17.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.5% (2020) → −8.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−54% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)131.9× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 46
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)58· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCOJF
Frequently asked questions
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.94 versus a price of $25.06, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCOJF?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is $12.94 (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $25.06.
What is the quality score of CCOJF?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.94 (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.11, optimistic scenario $17.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.94, about −48% upside versus a price of $25.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $9.11, optimistic scenario $17.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $901B (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc it is $12.94 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of $25.06. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, CCOJF trades above its calculated fair value: price $25.06, fair value $12.94, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CCOJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($25.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.94). For Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc the two are $12.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc at about $4.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is $25.06; our models calculate a fair value of $12.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CCOJF?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $9.11, base $12.94, optimistic $17.97 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price $25.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CCOJF?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 131.9 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.94 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity −11.1%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price $25.06, calculated fair value $12.94 (−48%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CCOJF calculated?
We run Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $25.06. Our model-based fair value is $12.94, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($9.11 to $17.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) come from?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc grew −7.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.7 %, EBIT margin −11.9 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is $4.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 131.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The dividend yield of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The net margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is −5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
The operating margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Revenue at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc are growing +80.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) generate?
The free cash flow of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is $20.7B (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc (CCOJF) carry?
The net debt of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc is $37.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 19, 2026