Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings (CCOJF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.0B
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings
CCOJF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $79.73 to $11.29 (−85.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.87 – $34.32 · fair‑value band $8.20 – $14.37 · the $26.29 price screens above the $11.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings (CCOJF) currently trades at $26.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.29, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings generated revenue of $901B at a net margin of -5.0%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.1%. Net debt stands at $37.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.20 (bear case) to $14.37 (bull case); at $26.29, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -57%, CCOJF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($12.16) versus Dividend Discount ($4.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan.
Full company description
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan. The company manufactures and sells food products; operates vending machines; distributes and sells alcoholic products; and manufactures, processes, and sells beverage products and office coffee services. In addition, it provides shared services to support the sales of nonessential, alcoholic, and dairy beverages, as well as food products; and imports, exports, and sells beverage products, nonessential beverage products, and other beverage products. The company offers its products under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Real Gold, Georgia, Aquarius, Qoo, Sokenbicha, Huang, and Kochakaden brand names. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc. and changed its name to Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. in January 2018. Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings reported revenue of $894B in FY2025 versus $786B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$50.8B in FY2025.
CCOJF screens 57% overvalued. Compare with PepsiCo, Inc →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 92 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $81.56 | $39.92 | -51% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $137.38 | $106.91 | -22% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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