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The Coca-Cola Company (KO80) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what The Coca-Cola Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · TH · ISIN US1912161007

TC Thin data Sep 13, 2026

The Coca-Cola Company

KO80 · BK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 1.11 THB · Strongly overvalued (−62%)
Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +3.7 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 28.6% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 94/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

3.02 THB 2.08 THB Fair Value 1.11 THB May 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range 2.08 THB – 3.02 THB · fair‑value band 0.7400 THB – 1.98 THB · the 2.94 THB price screens above the 1.11 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages.

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The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores. The company sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Diet Coke/Coca-Cola Light, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, caffeine free Diet Coke, Cherry Coke, Fanta, Sprite, Simply, Fanta Orange, Fanta Zero Orange, Fanta Zero Sugar, Fanta Apple, Sprite Zero Sugar, Simply Orange, Simply Apple, Simply Grapefruit, Fresca, Schweppes, Thums Up, Aquarius, Ayataka, BODYARMOR, Ciel, Costa, Crystal, Dasani, Fuze Tea, Georgia, glacéau smartwater, glacéau vitaminwater, Gold Peak, I LOHAS, Powerade, Topo Chico, Core Power, Del Valle, fairlife, innocent, Maaza, Minute Maid, Minute Maid Pulpy, Santa Clara, and dogadan brands. It operates through a network of independent bottling partners, distributors, wholesalers, and retailers, as well as through bottling and distribution operators. The Coca-Cola Company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Stock analysis

The Coca-Cola Company (KO80) currently trades at 2.94 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.11 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 164.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1.85 THB per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 2.94 THB price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3700 THB, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.7400 THB (bear) to 1.98 THB (bull), the price of 2.94 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

The Coca-Cola Company reported revenue of $47.9B in FY2025 versus $43.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $13.1B in FY2025, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 12.5T THB (≈ $377B) · P/E ratio 26.7 · P/S ratio 7.31 · EPS (TTM) 0.1100 THB · Net margin 27.3% · Return on equity 42.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6% · Operating margin 34.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −62%, KO80 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7400 THB Fair Value 1.11 THB Bull 1.98 THB
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 75
Growth DCF 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 74
Owner Earnings 0.7400 THB 1.48 THB 2.22 THB 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 75
Owner Earnings 0.7400 THB 1.48 THB 2.22 THB 72
5Y Revenue Exit n/a 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 62
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7400 THB 1.11 THB 1.85 THB 70
5Y P/E Exit 0.7400 THB 1.48 THB 2.59 THB 65
10Y Revenue Exit n/a 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 57
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.3700 THB 1.11 THB 1.48 THB 64
10Y P/E Exit 0.7400 THB 1.11 THB 1.85 THB 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.7400 THB 1.48 THB 1.85 THB 63
EPV 0.7400 THB 0.7400 THB 1.11 THB 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.85 THB 2.22 THB 2.96 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 0.7400 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.11 THB 1.48 THB 1.85 THB 55
EV/EBIT 1.48 THB 1.85 THB 2.59 THB 65
EV/EBITDA 1.11 THB 1.48 THB 1.85 THB 67
EV/Revenue n/a 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.3700 THB 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 74
Rev-Margin DCF n/a 0.3700 THB 0.7400 THB 62
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.7400 THB 1.48 THB 17.02 THB 61
ROIC Compounder 0.7400 THB 1.11 THB 1.11 THB 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.11 THB 1.85 THB 2.22 THB 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 31%

KO80 screens 165% overvalued. Compare with PepsiCo, Inc →

Compare The Coca-Cola Company with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 72.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.31× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 11.71× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.52× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 71.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 24.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 4.18× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PepsiCo, Inc PEP80 0.9200 THB 0.4700 THB −49%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $43.40 $56.09 +29%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$39.50 HK$43.45 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €89.10 €69.48 −22%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.39 $30.99 −1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $110.71 $108.69 −2%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €52.60 €40.87 −22%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹416.25 ₹187.49 −55%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥112.77 ¥169.61 +50%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$195.50 HK$431.00 +120%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Coca-Cola Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KO80

Frequently asked questions

Is The Coca-Cola Company (KO80) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.11 THB versus a price of 2.94 THB, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KO80?
Our model-based fair value for The Coca-Cola Company is 1.11 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.94 THB.
What is the quality score of KO80?
The Coca-Cola Company has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.11 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7400 THB, optimistic scenario 1.98 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Coca-Cola Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.11 THB, about −62% upside versus a price of 2.94 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7400 THB, optimistic scenario 1.98 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The Coca-Cola Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Coca-Cola Company it is 1.11 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 2.94 THB. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Coca-Cola Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, KO80 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.94 THB, fair value 1.11 THB, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KO80?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.94 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.11 THB). For The Coca-Cola Company the two are 1.83 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Coca-Cola Company worth?
The market values The Coca-Cola Company at about 12.5T THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 2.94 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.11 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KO80?
Our models span a range for The Coca-Cola Company: cautious scenario 0.7400 THB, base 1.11 THB, optimistic 1.98 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 2.94 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KO80?
The Coca-Cola Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.7 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.11 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.2, P/B 11.7, P/S 7.5, EV/EBITDA 24.0.
What is the PEG ratio of KO80?
The PEG ratio of The Coca-Cola Company is 4.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Coca-Cola Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 42.1%, debt of 1.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KO80 from its 52-week high?
The Coca-Cola Company trades at 2.94 THB, about 2% below its 52-week high of 3.00 THB and 43% above the low of 2.06 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.11 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Coca-Cola Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Coca-Cola Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 2.94 THB, calculated fair value 1.11 THB (−62%), Quality Score 67/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KO80 calculated?
We run The Coca-Cola Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.11 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. The Coca-Cola Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with The Coca-Cola Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.98 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (0.7400 THB to 1.98 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of The Coca-Cola Company

How large is the market capitalisation of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The market capitalisation of The Coca-Cola Company is 12.5T THB (≈ $377B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Coca-Cola Company is 7.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Earnings per share at The Coca-Cola Company are 0.1100 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The net margin of The Coca-Cola Company is 27.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Coca-Cola Company is 42.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Coca-Cola Company is 13.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
The operating margin of The Coca-Cola Company is 34.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Revenue at The Coca-Cola Company is growing +6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Coca-Cola Company (KO80)?
Earnings per share at The Coca-Cola Company are growing +16.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Coca-Cola Company (KO80) generate?
The free cash flow of The Coca-Cola Company is $5.3B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Coca-Cola Company (KO80) carry?
The net debt of The Coca-Cola Company is $35.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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