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PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what PepsiCo, Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · TH · ISIN US7134481081

PI Thin data Sep 13, 2026

PepsiCo, Inc

PEP80 · BK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 0.4700 THB · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·3.91% dividend yield
✓Wide moat 70/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.05 THB 0.8102 THB Fair Value 0.4700 THB May 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range 0.8102 THB – 1.05 THB · fair‑value band 0.3200 THB – 0.7400 THB · the 0.9200 THB price screens above the 0.4700 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America Foods; and Asia Pacific Foods.

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PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America Foods; and Asia Pacific Foods. It offers cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, oatmeal, pasta, rice, and syrups and mixes; refrigerated dips and spreads; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; and ready-to-drink tea and coffee products. The company also provides SodaStream sparkling water makers and related products, as well as various dairy products under the Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne brands. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, and others through a network of direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and distributor networks, as well as directly to consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers. PepsiCo, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is based in Purchase, New York.

Stock analysis

PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80) currently trades at 0.9200 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 95.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.4700 THB per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.9200 THB price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 0.2350 THB, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.3200 THB (bear) to 0.7400 THB (bull), the price of 0.9200 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

PepsiCo, Inc reported revenue of $93.9B in FY2025 versus $86.4B in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $8.2B in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 6.5T THB (≈ $196B) · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) 0.0500 THB · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 51.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −49%, PEP80 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.3200 THB Fair Value 0.4700 THB Bull 0.7400 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 75
Growth DCF 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 74
Owner Earnings 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 75
Owner Earnings 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 72
5Y Revenue Exit 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.9400 THB 67
5Y P/E Exit 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 66
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 64
10Y P/E Exit 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 65
EPV 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 64
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 0.7050 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 0.9400 THB 65
EV/EBITDA 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 0.9400 THB 66
EV/Revenue 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.4700 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 74
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.7050 THB 64
ROIC Compounder 0.2350 THB 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2350 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7050 THB 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 14%

PEP80 screens 96% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.07× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 9.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.55× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO80 2.94 THB 1.11 THB −62%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $43.40 $56.09 +29%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$39.50 HK$43.45 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €89.10 €69.48 −22%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.39 $30.99 −1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $110.71 $108.69 −2%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €52.60 €40.87 −22%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹416.25 ₹187.49 −55%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥112.77 ¥169.61 +50%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$195.50 HK$431.00 +120%

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PepsiCo, Inc · Fair Value
0.4700 THB −96%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PepsiCo, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PEP80

Frequently asked questions

Is PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4700 THB versus a price of 0.9200 THB, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PEP80?
Our model-based fair value for PepsiCo, Inc is 0.4700 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.9200 THB.
What is the quality score of PEP80?
PepsiCo, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4700 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3200 THB, optimistic scenario 0.7400 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PepsiCo, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4700 THB, about −49% upside versus a price of 0.9200 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3200 THB, optimistic scenario 0.7400 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
PepsiCo, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $96.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does PepsiCo, Inc pay a dividend?
PepsiCo, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PepsiCo, Inc it is 0.4700 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 0.9200 THB. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PepsiCo, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PEP80 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.9200 THB, fair value 0.4700 THB, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PEP80?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.9200 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4700 THB). For PepsiCo, Inc the two are 0.4500 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PepsiCo, Inc worth?
The market values PepsiCo, Inc at about 6.5T THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 0.9200 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4700 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PEP80?
Our models span a range for PepsiCo, Inc: cautious scenario 0.3200 THB, base 0.4700 THB, optimistic 0.7400 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 0.9200 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PEP80?
PepsiCo, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.4700 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 9.5, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 12.0.
What is the PEG ratio of PEP80?
The PEG ratio of PepsiCo, Inc is 1.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Balance-sheet figures for PepsiCo, Inc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 51.5%, debt of 2.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PEP80 from its 52-week high?
PepsiCo, Inc trades at 0.9200 THB, about 12% below its 52-week high of 1.05 THB and 9% above the low of 0.8440 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4700 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PepsiCo, Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PepsiCo, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 0.9200 THB, calculated fair value 0.4700 THB (−49%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PEP80 calculated?
We run PepsiCo, Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4700 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. PepsiCo, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with PepsiCo, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7400 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.3200 THB to 0.7400 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PepsiCo, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The market capitalisation of PepsiCo, Inc is 6.5T THB (≈ $196B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PepsiCo, Inc is 1.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Earnings per share at PepsiCo, Inc are 0.0500 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The dividend yield of PepsiCo, Inc is 3.9% (payout 71.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The net margin of PepsiCo, Inc is 8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PepsiCo, Inc is 51.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PepsiCo, Inc is 12.7% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
The operating margin of PepsiCo, Inc is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Revenue at PepsiCo, Inc is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80)?
Earnings per share at PepsiCo, Inc are growing +137% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80) generate?
The free cash flow of PepsiCo, Inc is $7.7B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PepsiCo, Inc (PEP80) carry?
The net debt of PepsiCo, Inc is $40.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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