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CodeMill AB (CDMIL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 195M SEK

CA CodeMill AB CDMIL · ST
Pricekr 13.75
Fair Valuekr 4.04
Upside-70.6%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 3.54 – kr 4.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −9.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 4.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 22.35 kr 4.03 Fair Value kr 4.04 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 4.03 – kr 22.35 · fair‑value band kr 3.54 – kr 4.53 · the kr 13.75 price screens above the kr 4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

CodeMill AB (CDMIL) currently trades at kr 13.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CodeMill AB generated revenue of 74.3M SEK at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 27.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 3.54 (bear case) to kr 4.53 (bull case); at kr 13.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -71%, CDMIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 5.43 kr 7.21 kr 9.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 4.06 kr 4.97 kr 6.18 74
ROIC Compounder kr 2.70 kr 2.77 kr 2.82 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 5.50 kr 7.58 kr 10.62 38
Owner Earnings kr 2.81 kr 3.24 kr 3.87 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 4.06 kr 4.94 kr 6.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 10.10 kr 17.49 kr 26.95 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 4.59 kr 5.57 kr 6.91 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 8.06 kr 13.47 kr 21.98 37
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 2.70 kr 2.77 kr 2.82 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 3.60 kr 4.10 kr 4.59 53
EV/EBITDA kr 14.35 kr 18.43 kr 22.52 54
EV/Revenue kr 3.11 kr 3.54 kr 3.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.83 kr 2.45 kr 3.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 5.43 kr 7.21 kr 9.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 4.06 kr 4.97 kr 6.18 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 2.70 kr 2.77 kr 2.82 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 5.57) versus Asset-Based (kr 2.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 74.1M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.8%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow 4.9M SEK FY2025
Operating margin 7.8%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net cash 27.9M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 2
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CodeMill AB (publ) provides media workflow applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers Accurate.Video, a web-based platform for video production created for media and other companies; Accurate Player SDK, a cloud based video player; and Cantemo, a media management platform that helps customers order and structure in their media library.

Full company description

CodeMill AB (publ) provides media workflow applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers Accurate.Video, a web-based platform for video production created for media and other companies; Accurate Player SDK, a cloud based video player; and Cantemo, a media management platform that helps customers order and structure in their media library. The company also provides digital services; and software development and technical services for video and media companies. CodeMill AB (publ) was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Umeå, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CodeMill AB reported revenue of kr 67.2M in FY2025 versus kr 34.6M in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 42.0K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
67.2M SEK
Latest YoY
−27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 kr 34.6M
FY22 kr 57.3M
FY23 kr 78.8M
FY24 kr 92.0M
FY25 kr 67.2M
Net income
FY21 −kr 28.2M
FY22 −kr 13.7M
FY23 −kr 2.7M
FY24 kr 10.9M
FY25 −kr 42.0K

CDMIL screens 71% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CodeMill AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDMIL

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CodeMill AB (CDMIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.04 versus a price of kr 13.75, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDMIL?
Our model-based fair value for CodeMill AB is kr 4.04 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 13.75.
What is the quality score of CDMIL?
CodeMill AB has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CodeMill AB (CDMIL)?
CodeMill AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 74.3M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDMIL?
The net profit margin of CodeMill AB is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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