Calian Group (CGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$884M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from C$30.41 to C$49.99 (+64.4%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$64.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$37.05 – C$92.13 · fair‑value band C$36.04 – C$64.41 · the C$83.00 price screens above the C$49.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Calian Group (CGY) currently trades at C$83.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$49.99, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Calian Group generated revenue of C$832M at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at C$128M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$36.04 (bear case) to C$64.41 (bull case); at C$83.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -40%, CGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$37.82) versus Economic Profit (C$10.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Calian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions.
Full company description
Calian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions. The company offers communication and connectivity products, such as antennas, RF solutions, software solutions, GNSS, satellite flight operations, and carrier and spectrum monitoring; and cybersecurity solutions, including risk assessment and compliance, penetration testing, IT infrastructure protection, penetration testing, cybersecurity training and awareness, RF emissions security, cyberattack simulations, incident response services, and cloud security services. It also provides enterprise IT solutions comprising managed IT services, 24/7 help desk outsourcing, managed XDR security, hardware asset management, and NOC services; healthcare, pharmaceutical solutions, and digital health solutions; and corporate training, immersive and blended learning, and instructor-led learning solutions. In addition, the company offers composites manufacturing, circuit card assembly, wiring harnesses and cables, fibreglass canopies, and product assembly services; custom software, integration and embedded design, operational management and lifecycle support, modelling and simulation-enabled design, composites engineering and technology, research and development, qualification testing, and asset management services; and emergency response and emergency resilience, hazard-informed risk assessment, emergency response plans, and after-action review solutions. It serves defense, health, transportation, agriculture, government and public service, public safety and security, energy, resources and environment, space, retail and hospitality, manufacturing, and network and communication infrastructure industries. The company was formerly known as Calian Technologies Ltd. and changed its name to Calian Group Ltd. in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Calian Group reported revenue of C$774M in FY2025 versus C$518M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$20.6M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.
CGY screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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