CGY.TO (CGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CGY.TO C$51.47, price C$85.49, upside -39.8%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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CGY.TO
CGY · TOStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$37.05 – C$92.13 · fair‑value band C$37.50 – C$66.93 · the C$85.49 price screens above the C$51.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Calian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions.
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Calian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions. The company offers communication and connectivity products, such as antennas, RF solutions, software solutions, GNSS, satellite flight operations, and carrier and spectrum monitoring; and cybersecurity solutions, including risk assessment and compliance, penetration testing, IT infrastructure protection, penetration testing, cybersecurity training and awareness, RF emissions security, cyberattack simulations, incident response services, and cloud security services. It also provides enterprise IT solutions comprising managed IT services, 24/7 help desk outsourcing, managed XDR security, hardware asset management, and NOC services; healthcare, pharmaceutical solutions, and digital health solutions; and corporate training, immersive and blended learning, and instructor-led learning solutions. In addition, the company offers composites manufacturing, circuit card assembly, wiring harnesses and cables, fibreglass canopies, and product assembly services; custom software, integration and embedded design, operational management and lifecycle support, modelling and simulation-enabled design, composites engineering and technology, research and development, qualification testing, and asset management services; and emergency response and emergency resilience, hazard-informed risk assessment, emergency response plans, and after-action review solutions. It serves defense, health, transportation, agriculture, government and public service, public safety and security, energy, resources and environment, space, retail and hospitality, manufacturing, and network and communication infrastructure industries. The company was formerly known as Calian Technologies Ltd. and changed its name to Calian Group Ltd. in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
Stock analysis
CGY.TO (CGY) currently trades at C$85.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$51.47, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$41.08 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$85.49 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$10.25, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$37.50 (bear) to C$66.93 (bull), the price of C$85.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CGY.TO reported revenue of C$774M in FY2025 versus C$518M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$20.6M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$996M (≈ $706M) · P/E ratio 30.0 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) C$2.85 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −40%, CGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
CGY screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Compare CGY.TO with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Canadian Stocks
- Valuation of the Canada market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $198.80 | $181.30 | −9% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | $95.66 | $70.26 | −27% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.80 | $32.23 | +12% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $84.78 | $85.85 | +1% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$117.34 | C$129.07 | +10% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $66.65 | $33.62 | −50% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.73 | A$18.66 | +0% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €66.82 | €97.78 | +46% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.59 | $23.15 | −59% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $21.37 | $19.63 | −8% |
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