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China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of China Boton Group Company Limited $0.24, price $0.30, upside -20.0%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US

CB China Boton Group Company Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

China Boton Group Company Limited

CHBGF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.2400 · Overvalued (−20%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -69.0% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 7 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.3000 $0.1484 Fair Value $0.2400 Nov 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range $0.1484 – $0.3000 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3400 · the $0.3000 price screens above the $0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Boton Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells flavors, fragrances, and e-cigarette products in the People's Republic of China, Europe, the United States, the rest of Asia, and internationally.

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China Boton Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells flavors, fragrances, and e-cigarette products in the People's Republic of China, Europe, the United States, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Tobacco Flavors, Food Flavors, Fine Fragrances, e-Cigarette Products, and Investment Properties segments. It offers tobacco fragrance products; edible flavor products for beverages, dairy, candy, baking, and savory products; and fragrances to manufacturers of cosmetics, hair care, soap, detergent, deodorant, air freshener, and other products. In addition, the company offers e-cigarette products, which include disposable and rechargeable electronic cigarettes or cigars, as well as other e-cigarette accessories, such as rechargeable e-cigarette cases, to tobacco companies, independent e-cigarette manufacturers, and other customers. Further, it is involved in leasing of properties. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF) currently trades at $0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.31 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.3000 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.0700, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1800 (bear) to $0.3400 (bull), the price of $0.3000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Boton Group Company Limited reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.0B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $324M · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −69.0% · Return on equity −34.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −20%, CHBGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1800 Fair Value $0.2400 Bull $0.3400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0800 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0700 $0.0800 $0.0900 67
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $0.1600 62
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0800 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0700 $0.0800 $0.0900 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $0.1600 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9700 $1.31 $1.95 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.5% (2020) → −3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CHBGF screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 712 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −69% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 17.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)56 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $468.14 $441.72 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.46 $148.97 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.72 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $286.97 $122.14 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,406 CHF 1,523 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.20 $77.06 −28%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 91.50 CHF 29.27 −68%

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China Boton Group Company Limited · Fair Value
$0.2400 −25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Boton Group Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHBGF

Frequently asked questions

Is China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2400 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.3000, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHBGF?
Our model-based fair value for China Boton Group Company Limited is $0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.3000.
What is the quality score of CHBGF?
China Boton Group Company Limited has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Boton Group Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2400, about −20% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.3000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
China Boton Group Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Boton Group Company Limited pay a dividend?
China Boton Group Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Boton Group Company Limited it is $0.2400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3000. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Boton Group Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CHBGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3000, fair value $0.2400, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHBGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2400). For China Boton Group Company Limited the two are $0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Boton Group Company Limited worth?
The market values China Boton Group Company Limited at about $324M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHBGF?
Our models span a range for China Boton Group Company Limited: cautious scenario $0.1800, base $0.2400, optimistic $0.3400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHBGF?
China Boton Group Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 17.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Boton Group Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −34.5%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHBGF from its 52-week high?
China Boton Group Company Limited trades at $0.3000, at its 52-week high of $0.3000 and at the low of $0.3000 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Boton Group Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Boton Group Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3000, calculated fair value $0.2400 (−20%), Quality Score 27/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHBGF calculated?
We run China Boton Group Company Limited through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China Boton Group Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.3000. Our model-based fair value is $0.2400, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Boton Group Company Limited right now?
Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of China Boton Group Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The market capitalisation of China Boton Group Company Limited is $324M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Boton Group Company Limited is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Earnings per share at China Boton Group Company Limited are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The dividend yield of China Boton Group Company Limited is 2.8% (payout 42.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The net margin of China Boton Group Company Limited is −69.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Boton Group Company Limited is −34.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Boton Group Company Limited is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
The operating margin of China Boton Group Company Limited is −10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Revenue at China Boton Group Company Limited is growing −4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF)?
Earnings per share at China Boton Group Company Limited are growing −32.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF) generate?
The free cash flow of China Boton Group Company Limited is −290M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Boton Group Company Limited (CHBGF) carry?
The net debt of China Boton Group Company Limited is 1.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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