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Cheer Holding (CHR) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.2M

CH Cheer Holding logo Cheer Holding CHR · US
Price$1.84
Fair Value$1.90
Upside+3.0%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $1.42 – $2.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +2.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $1.42 (bear) to $2.36 (bull), base $1.90. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 45/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6,375 $1.53 Fair Value $1.90 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.53 – $6,375 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $2.36 · the $1.84 price screens below the $1.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Cheer Holding (CHR) currently trades at $1.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cheer Holding generated revenue of $149M at a net margin of 17.2%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $233M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.42 (bear case) to $2.36 (bull case); at $1.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 3%, CHR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.54 $1.75 $2.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.73 $2.22 $2.80 74
ROIC Compounder $1.66 $1.80 $1.94 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.54 $1.79 $2.12 38
Owner Earnings $2.04 $2.51 $3.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.73 $2.23 $2.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.81 $2.39 $3.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.06 $2.86 $3.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.61 $2.01 $2.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.68 $2.11 $2.69 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.82 $2.39 $3.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.6942 $2.39 $3.21 54
Lynch FV $0.5510 $0.7871 $1.02 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.5510 $0.7871 $1.02 46
EPV $1.63 $1.71 $1.78 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.68 $2.25 $2.81 63
P/S Multiple $1.30 $1.74 $2.17 58
P/B Multiple $1.30 $1.74 $2.17 55
EV/EBIT $2.22 $2.64 $3.05 53
EV/EBITDA $2.15 $2.55 $2.95 54
EV/Revenue $1.91 $2.32 $2.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7366 $0.9870 $1.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.54 $1.75 $2.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.73 $2.22 $2.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.07 $1.08 $1.01 61
ROIC Compounder $1.66 $1.80 $1.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.44 $2.05 $2.67 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.25) versus Earnings-Based ($0.7871). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $149M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net margin 17.2%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow $17.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.0
More key figures
Operating margin 23.1%
EPS (TTM) $72.21
EPS growth (YoY) -85.3%
Net cash $233M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cheer Holding, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of advertisement and content production services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Cheers APP Internet Business and Traditional Media Businesses segments. It also engages in mobile and online advertising, and media and entertainment businesses.

Full company description

Cheer Holding, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of advertisement and content production services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Cheers APP Internet Business and Traditional Media Businesses segments. It also engages in mobile and online advertising, and media and entertainment businesses. In addition, it operates CHEERS app, an integrated e-commerce service with professionally produced content; CHEERS Video app, a media platform that engages users with content and develops lifestyle short videos and interactive live-broadcasting; and CHEERS e-Mall, an e-Mall app that offers products to the users through third party merchants through live streaming, online short videos, and online games. Further, the company provides CHEERS Telepathy, a multimodal artificial intelligence content creation platform; CHEERS API, a platform that provides industry digital transformation solutions and data integration; CheerCar, an interactive entertainment app; CheerChat App, an AI social app; and CHEERS Metaverse, a platform to provide immersive digital experiences. It also produces short videos, online variety shows, drama, live streams, and Cheers series. The company was formerly known as Glory Star New Media Group Holdings Limited and changed its name to Cheer Holding, Inc. in November 2023. Cheer Holding, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cheer Holding reported revenue of $149M in FY2025 versus $153M in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $25.6M in FY2025, compounding −7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$149M
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 $153M
FY22 $157M
FY23 $152M
FY24 $147M
FY25 $149M
Net income −7.7%/yr
FY21 $35.3M
FY22 $26.9M
FY23 $30.5M
FY24 $26.0M
FY25 $25.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cheer Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHR

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 18
FUTURE 11 · sector 9
PAST 30 · sector 8
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cheer Holding (CHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.90 versus a price of $1.84, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CHR?
Our model-based fair value for Cheer Holding is $1.90 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.84.
What is the quality score of CHR?
Cheer Holding has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cheer Holding (CHR)?
Cheer Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $149M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHR?
The net profit margin of Cheer Holding is about 17.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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