Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.1B
Chimera Investment Corporation
CIM · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −7.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 105% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.07 – $29.34 · fair‑value band $18.40 – $30.66 · the $11.97 price screens below the $24.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) currently trades at $11.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.53, implying the stock looks roughly 104.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Chimera Investment Corporation generated revenue of $215M at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue declined 76.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at $12.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.40 (bear case) to $30.66 (bull case); at $11.97, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 105%, CIM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($31.91) versus Asset-Based ($20.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination.
Full company description
Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans, non-agency mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgage-backed securities, business purpose loans, investor loans, mortgage servicing rights, and other real estate-related assets. It also invests in investment grade, non-investment grade, and non-rated securities. In addition, the company offers third-party advisory services. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Chimera Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chimera Investment Corporation reported revenue of $821M in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $230M in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Chimera Investment Corporation Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Chimera Investment Corp (CIM) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: EAD Beats Dividend Amid ...
- CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORPORATION'S SECOND QUARTER EARNINGS MAINTAIN SUPPORT FOR $0.45 DIVIDEND
- Chimera Declares Third Quarter 2026 Preferred Stock Dividends
Peer Group
REIT - Mortgage · 40 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY | $22.45 | $22.84 | +2% |
| AGNC Investment Corp AGNC | $10.56 | $12.03 | +14% |
| Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD | $16.52 | $14.93 | -10% |
| Rithm Capital Corp RITM | $9.12 | $20.75 | +128% |
| Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc BXMT | $16.69 | $14.84 | -11% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc DX | $12.60 | $7.67 | -39% |
| ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc ARR | $16.13 | $20.28 | +26% |
| Ellington Financial Inc EFC | $13.37 | $13.45 | +1% |
| Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc ARI | $6.76 | $13.56 | +101% |
| Orchid Island Capital, Inc ORC | $6.54 | $6.26 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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