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Clavister Holding (CLAV) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 1.9B SEK

CH Clavister Holding CLAV · ST
Pricekr 4.66
Fair Valuekr 2.38
Upside-48.9%
Quality43/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range kr 1.73 – kr 2.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −9.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 6.08 kr 0.8728 Fair Value kr 2.38 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.8728 – kr 6.08 · fair‑value band kr 1.73 – kr 2.95 · the kr 4.66 price screens above the kr 2.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Clavister Holding (CLAV) currently trades at kr 4.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.38, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Clavister Holding generated revenue of 218M SEK at a net margin of -13.7%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. Net debt stands at 26.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.73 (bear case) to kr 2.95 (bull case); at kr 4.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -49%, CLAV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (kr 0.1600 to kr 2.25). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 0.9700 kr 1.52 kr 2.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.8900 kr 1.48 kr 2.23 74
Growth-Adj P/E kr 0.1800 kr 0.2600 kr 0.3300 68
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 0.9800 kr 1.60 kr 2.54 38
Owner Earnings kr 1.38 kr 2.25 kr 3.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.8900 kr 1.48 kr 2.28 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.8200 kr 1.35 kr 2.00 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 0.5000 kr 0.6900 kr 0.8900 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.8900 kr 1.43 kr 2.24 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.8700 kr 1.34 kr 2.03 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 0.6800 kr 0.9000 kr 1.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.1000 kr 0.4400 kr 0.6000 54
Lynch FV kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 0.2100 kr 0.2900 kr 0.3600 63
P/S Multiple kr 0.1800 kr 0.2400 kr 0.3000 58
P/B Multiple kr 0.1800 kr 0.2400 kr 0.3000 55
EV/EBITDA kr 0.8000 kr 1.06 kr 1.32 54
EV/Revenue kr 0.8600 kr 1.22 kr 1.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1300 kr 0.1700 kr 0.2500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.9700 kr 1.52 kr 2.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.8900 kr 1.48 kr 2.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 0.1900 kr 0.1900 kr 0.1700 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 0.1800 kr 0.2600 kr 0.3300 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 1.48) versus Earnings-Based (kr 0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 218M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net margin -13.7%
Free cash flow 34.2M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 438.6
Operating margin 4.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr 0.0100
Net debt 26.9M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Clavister Holding AB (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells cybersecurity solutions in Sweden, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Clavister Holding AB (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells cybersecurity solutions in Sweden, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers next-generation firewalls, including Clavister NetWall, a versatile next-generation firewalls, engineered to protect diverse environments; Clavister NetShield, a High-capacity next-generation firewalls for secure, efficient connectivity; and Clavister CyberArmour, a military-grade next-generation firewalls for defence applications and critical missions. The company also provides identity & access management solutions, such as Clavister IdAuth, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) platform that combines simple, user-friendly authentication with powerful security; Clavister IdAuth Cloud, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) as a Service that delivers simple, user-friendly authentication with strong security; Clavister IdSign, an on-prem solution for secure electronic signatures; and Clavister IdSphere, which streamlines and secures the full lifecycle of identities, offering accessible and powerful governance. In addition, it offers TactiGate XD, a military-grade cross-domain solution for land applications. Further, the company provides technical support and education and training services; and professional services, including installation and deployment, configuration and optimization, and yearly health check services. The company serves various industries, including energy utilities, transportation, public administration, cloud and datacenter services, education, defense, public safety, healthcare, and telecom operators. Clavister Holding AB (publ.), was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Örnsköldsvik, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Clavister Holding reported revenue of kr 219M in FY2025 versus kr 134M in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 5.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
219M SEK
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 kr 134M
FY22 kr 149M
FY23 kr 161M
FY24 kr 192M
FY25 kr 219M
Net income
FY21 −kr 91.1M
FY22 −kr 113M
FY23 −kr 65.4M
FY24 −kr 56.0M
FY25 kr 5.3M

CLAV screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clavister Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLAV

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.95× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 515.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 20.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 52 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Clavister Holding (CLAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2.38 versus a price of kr 4.66, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLAV?
Our model-based fair value for Clavister Holding is kr 2.38 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 4.66.
What is the quality score of CLAV?
Clavister Holding has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Clavister Holding (CLAV)?
Clavister Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 218M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLAV?
The net profit margin of Clavister Holding is about -13.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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