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Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) SEK 0.68, price SEK 4.29, upside -84.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · SE · ISIN SE0005308558

CH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Clavister Holding AB (publ.)

CLAV · ST

Weakest SetupQuality growthStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 0.6800 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 43/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 6.08 kr 0.8728 Fair Value kr 0.6800 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.8728 – kr 6.08 · fair‑value band kr 0.5100 – kr 0.8500 · the kr 4.29 price screens above the kr 0.6800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Clavister Holding AB (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells cybersecurity solutions in Sweden, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

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Clavister Holding AB (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells cybersecurity solutions in Sweden, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers next-generation firewalls, including Clavister NetWall, a versatile next-generation firewalls, engineered to protect diverse environments; Clavister NetShield, a High-capacity next-generation firewalls for secure, efficient connectivity; and Clavister CyberArmour, a military-grade next-generation firewalls for defence applications and critical missions. The company also provides identity & access management solutions, such as Clavister IdAuth, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) platform that combines simple, user-friendly authentication with powerful security; Clavister IdAuth Cloud, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) as a Service that delivers simple, user-friendly authentication with strong security; Clavister IdSign, an on-prem solution for secure electronic signatures; and Clavister IdSphere, which streamlines and secures the full lifecycle of identities, offering accessible and powerful governance. In addition, it offers TactiGate XD, a military-grade cross-domain solution for land applications. Further, the company provides technical support and education and training services; and professional services, including installation and deployment, configuration and optimization, and yearly health check services. The company serves various industries, including energy utilities, transportation, public administration, cloud and datacenter services, education, defense, public safety, healthcare, and telecom operators. Clavister Holding AB (publ.), was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Örnsköldsvik, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) currently trades at kr 4.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 530.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 1.50 per share, and 0 of the 21 models we run sit above the kr 4.29 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.1600, and 21 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 0.5100 (bear) to kr 0.8500 (bull), the price of kr 4.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Clavister Holding AB (publ.) reported revenue of 219M SEK in FY2025 versus 134M SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9B SEK (≈ $193M) · P/E ratio 428.6 · P/S ratio 10.4 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.0100 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 49.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.0% · Operating margin 3.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −84%, CLAV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.1600 to kr 2.21). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 0.5100 Fair Value kr 0.6800 Bull kr 0.8500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 1.06 kr 1.66 kr 2.51 80
Growth DCF kr 1.05 kr 1.56 kr 2.25 78
Owner Earnings kr 1.41 kr 2.21 kr 3.34 76
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 1.06 kr 1.66 kr 2.51 80
Owner Earnings kr 1.41 kr 2.21 kr 3.34 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.9200 kr 1.50 kr 2.25 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.02 kr 1.70 kr 2.53 74
5Y P/E Exit kr 0.6000 kr 0.8500 kr 1.10 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.9500 kr 1.46 kr 2.20 66
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.02 kr 1.58 kr 2.39 68
10Y P/E Exit kr 0.7900 kr 1.05 kr 1.38 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.1000 kr 0.4400 kr 0.6000 64
Lynch FV kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 0.3000 kr 0.4000 kr 0.5000 63
P/S Multiple kr 0.1800 kr 0.2400 kr 0.3000 58
P/B Multiple kr 0.1800 kr 0.2400 kr 0.3000 55
EV/EBITDA kr 1.10 kr 1.46 kr 1.83 67
EV/Revenue kr 0.8600 kr 1.22 kr 1.57 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1300 kr 0.1700 kr 0.2500 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 1.05 kr 1.56 kr 2.25 78
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.9200 kr 1.49 kr 2.22 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 0.1800 kr 0.1700 kr 0.1500 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 0.2200 kr 0.3100 kr 0.4100 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.3% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+30.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +28.4% a year for the price.

CLAV screens 530% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.95× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 428.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 20.33× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 8.05× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)52 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $374.57 $114.50 −69%
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Fortinet, Inc FTNT $178.74 $164.92 −8%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $413.06 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.68 $101.29 +36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.90 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clavister Holding AB (publ.) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLAV

Frequently asked questions

Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.6800 versus a price of kr 4.29, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLAV?
Our model-based fair value for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is kr 0.6800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 4.29.
What is the quality score of CLAV?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.6800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.5100, optimistic scenario kr 0.8500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.6800, about −84% upside versus a price of kr 4.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.5100, optimistic scenario kr 0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 238M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clavister Holding AB (publ.) would have to grow free cash flow by +30.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLAV use?
Our models discount Clavister Holding AB (publ.) at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) that is +30.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies +30.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (+30.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.24 %: that much free cash flow Clavister Holding AB (publ.) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) it is kr 0.6800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 4.29. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CLAV trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 4.29, fair value kr 0.6800, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 4.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.6800). For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) the two are kr 3.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) worth?
The market values Clavister Holding AB (publ.) at about 1.9B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 4.29; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.6800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLAV?
Our models span a range for Clavister Holding AB (publ.): cautious scenario kr 0.5100, base kr 0.6800, optimistic kr 0.8500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 4.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CLAV?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 428.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 0.6800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 20.3, P/S 8.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 49.3%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLAV from its 52-week high?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) trades at kr 4.29, about 20% below its 52-week high of kr 5.37 and 54% above the low of kr 2.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.6800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clavister Holding AB (publ.)?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 4.29, calculated fair value kr 0.6800 (−84%), Quality Score 43/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLAV calculated?
We run Clavister Holding AB (publ.) through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.6800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Clavister Holding AB (publ.) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 4.29. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.6800, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clavister Holding AB (publ.) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Clavister Holding AB (publ.)

How large is the market capitalisation of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The market capitalisation of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 1.9B SEK (≈ $193M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 10.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Earnings per share at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) are kr 0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 428.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The net margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 49.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is −11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The operating margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Revenue at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is growing +34.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Earnings per share at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) are growing −64.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) carry?
The net debt of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 26.9M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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