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Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock SEK 0.80, price SEK 4.20, that is 81.0% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 19 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology SE · ISIN SE0005308558

CH Clavister Holding AB (publ.) logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Clavister Holding AB (publ.)

CLAV · ST
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr in SEK)
Generates free cash flow
Revenue last quarter +63% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Thin margins · 10.8% net margin (TTM) · excl. one-off gain FY2025 -0.2%
Moderate debt
Moderate moat 54/100 · thin data
Fair value kr 0.8000 · Strongly overvalued
Trails peers (4/12)
Thin data
Quality growth
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 6.08 kr 0.8728 Fair Value kr 0.8000 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.8728 – kr 6.08 · fair‑value band kr 0.6000 – kr 1.00 · the kr 4.20 price screens above the kr 0.8000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Clavister Holding AB (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells cybersecurity solutions in Sweden, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

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It offers next-generation firewalls, including Clavister NetWall, a versatile next-generation firewalls, engineered to protect diverse environments; Clavister NetShield, a High-capacity next-generation firewalls for secure, efficient connectivity; and Clavister CyberArmour, a military-grade next-generation firewalls for defence applications and critical missions.

The company also provides identity & access management solutions, such as Clavister IdAuth, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) platform that combines simple, user-friendly authentication with powerful security; Clavister IdAuth Cloud, a modern Identity Provider (IdP) as a Service that delivers simple, user-friendly authentication with strong security; Clavister IdSign, an on-prem solution for secure electronic signatures; and Clavister IdSphere, which streamlines and secures the full lifecycle of identities, offering accessible and powerful governance.

In addition, it offers TactiGate XD, a military-grade cross-domain solution for land applications.

Further, the company provides technical support and education and training services; and professional services, including installation and deployment, configuration and optimization, and yearly health check services.

The company serves various industries, including energy utilities, transportation, public administration, cloud and datacenter services, education, defense, public safety, healthcare, and telecom operators.

Clavister Holding AB (publ.), was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Örnsköldsvik, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) currently trades at kr 4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.8000, 81% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 1.61 per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the kr 4.20 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.1600, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 0.6000 (bear) to kr 1.00 (bull), the price of kr 4.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Clavister Holding AB (publ.) reported revenue of 219M SEK in FY2025 versus 134M SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.6B SEK (≈ $164M) Micro · P/E ratio 52.5 · P/S ratio 5.96 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.0800 · Net margin 10.8% · Return on equity 86.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 14.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −81%, CLAV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.6000 Fair Value kr 0.8000 Bull kr 1.00
Price kr 4.20 · Downside -81.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.0686 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF kr 1.12 kr 1.79 kr 2.76 79
Growth DCF kr 1.11 kr 1.69 kr 2.49 78
Owner Earnings kr 1.76 kr 2.81 kr 4.33 75
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 1.12 kr 1.79 kr 2.76 79
Owner Earnings kr 1.76 kr 2.81 kr 4.33 75
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.9500 kr 1.54 kr 2.32 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.05 kr 1.74 kr 2.60 74
5Y P/E Exit kr 0.6200 kr 0.8600 kr 1.13 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.9800 kr 1.52 kr 2.31 66
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.06 kr 1.65 kr 2.52 67
10Y P/E Exit kr 0.8100 kr 1.09 kr 1.44 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.1000 kr 0.4400 kr 0.6000 64
Lynch FV kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 0.1100 kr 0.1600 kr 0.2100 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 0.3000 kr 0.4000 kr 0.5000 63
P/S Multiple kr 0.1800 kr 0.2400 kr 0.3000 58
EV/EBITDA kr 1.01 kr 1.38 kr 1.74 67
EV/Revenue kr 0.7700 kr 1.13 kr 1.49 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 1.11 kr 1.69 kr 2.49 78
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.9500 kr 1.53 kr 2.28 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 0.1800 kr 0.1800 kr 0.1900 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 0.2200 kr 0.3100 kr 0.4100 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 82
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 37
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 72
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 46
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 51
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.3% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.5% a year for the price.

CLAV screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 346 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −81.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 86.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 10.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 14.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 62.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.95× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 52.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 17.25× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 5.96× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 47.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 88.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)52 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $530.61 $583.67 +10% vs CLAV
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $118.84 $130.72 +10% vs CLAV
Oracle Corporation ORCL $116.10 $111.97 −4% vs CLAV
NetApp, Inc NTAP $169.19 $156.80 −7% vs CLAV
Block, Inc XYZ $85.48 $76.43 −11% vs CLAV
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $450.46 $288.23 −36% vs CLAV
Zscaler, Inc ZS $197.66 $101.45 −49% vs CLAV
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $160.38 $42.20 −74% vs CLAV
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $216.90 $37.97 −82% vs CLAV
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $313.84 $39.54 −87% vs CLAV

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Clavister Holding AB (publ.): fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clavister Holding AB (publ.) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLAV

Frequently asked questions

Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.8000 versus a price of kr 4.20, about 81% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLAV?
Our model-based fair value for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is kr 0.8000 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 4.20.
What is the quality score of CLAV?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.8000 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.6000, optimistic scenario kr 1.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.8000, about 81% lower versus a price of kr 4.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.6000, optimistic scenario kr 1.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 272M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clavister Holding AB (publ.) would have to grow free cash flow by +32.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLAV use?
Our models discount Clavister Holding AB (publ.) at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) that is +32.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +32.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (+32.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.11 %: that much free cash flow Clavister Holding AB (publ.) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) it is kr 0.8000 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of kr 4.20. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CLAV trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 4.20, fair value kr 0.8000, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 4.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.8000). For Clavister Holding AB (publ.) the two are kr 3.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) worth?
The market values Clavister Holding AB (publ.) at about 1.6B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is kr 4.20; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.8000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLAV?
Our models span a range for Clavister Holding AB (publ.): cautious scenario kr 0.6000, base kr 0.8000, optimistic kr 1.00 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price kr 4.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CLAV?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 52.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 0.8000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 17.3, P/S 6.0, EV/EBITDA 88.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 86.6%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLAV from its 52-week high?
Clavister Holding AB (publ.) trades at kr 4.20, about 22% below its 52-week high of kr 5.37 and 51% above the low of kr 2.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.8000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clavister Holding AB (publ.)?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clavister Holding AB (publ.) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price kr 4.20, calculated fair value kr 0.8000 (−81%), Quality Score 44/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLAV calculated?
We run Clavister Holding AB (publ.) through 19 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 0.8000 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Clavister Holding AB (publ.) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 4.20. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.8000, about 81% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clavister Holding AB (publ.) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Clavister Holding AB (publ.)

How large is the market capitalisation of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The market capitalisation of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 1.6B SEK (≈ $164M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 5.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Earnings per share at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) are kr 0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The net margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 10.8% (last twelve months), excl. one-off gain FY2025 −0.2%. How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 86.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is −11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
The operating margin of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Revenue at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is growing +62.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV)?
Earnings per share at Clavister Holding AB (publ.) are growing −64.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Clavister Holding AB (publ.) (CLAV) carry?
The net debt of Clavister Holding AB (publ.) is 26.9M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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