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PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, (CLEO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 9.1T IDR

PS PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, CLEO · JK
Price386.00 IDR
Fair Value283.98 IDR
Upside-26.4%
Quality37/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 148.55 IDR – 447.23 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (148.55 IDR to 447.23 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

821.65 IDR 201.94 IDR Fair Value 283.98 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 201.94 IDR – 821.65 IDR · fair‑value band 148.55 IDR – 447.23 IDR · the 386.00 IDR price screens above the 283.98 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, (CLEO) currently trades at 386.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 283.98 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, generated revenue of 2.9T IDR at a net margin of 13.1%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 395B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 148.55 IDR (bear case) to 447.23 IDR (bull case); at 386.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -26%, CLEO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 67.22 IDR 139.53 IDR 290.36 IDR 80
Residual Income 109.71 IDR 145.18 IDR 526.15 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 110.80 IDR 251.33 IDR 469.51 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 71.63 IDR 122.39 IDR 285.03 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 146.40 IDR 354.55 IDR 811.06 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 110.80 IDR 223.45 IDR 451.98 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 255.96 IDR 528.18 IDR 1,045 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 198.73 IDR 478.64 IDR 854.96 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 95.11 IDR 247.15 IDR 397.65 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 206.95 IDR 545.59 IDR 1,218 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 165.04 IDR 427.93 IDR 914.54 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 108.18 IDR 754.45 IDR 1,059 IDR 54
Lynch FV 248.90 IDR 355.57 IDR 462.24 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 248.90 IDR 355.57 IDR 462.24 IDR 46
EPV 174.76 IDR 207.12 IDR 235.88 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 250.57 IDR 334.09 IDR 417.62 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 141.28 IDR 188.38 IDR 235.47 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 202.84 IDR 270.46 IDR 338.07 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 281.80 IDR 378.59 IDR 475.39 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 318.88 IDR 428.03 IDR 537.18 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 115.05 IDR 168.03 IDR 221.01 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 46.85 IDR 62.78 IDR 93.71 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 67.22 IDR 139.53 IDR 290.36 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 110.80 IDR 251.33 IDR 469.51 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 109.71 IDR 145.18 IDR 526.15 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 229.18 IDR 363.37 IDR 475.79 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 329.50 IDR 470.72 IDR 611.93 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (470.72 IDR) versus Asset-Based (62.78 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 13.1%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow 109B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 21.1
More key figures
Operating margin 21.7%
EPS (TTM) 16.13 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net debt 395B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bottled drinking water products in Indonesia. The company operates through the Bottle, Non-Bottle, and Others segments. The company also has wholesale trading of food and beverages and the production and distribution of ice for food, beverage, and other uses.

Full company description

PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bottled drinking water products in Indonesia. The company operates through the Bottle, Non-Bottle, and Others segments. The company also has wholesale trading of food and beverages and the production and distribution of ice for food, beverage, and other uses. It sells drinking water under the Cleo, Super O2, VIO, Cleo Plantine, Anda, and S-Tube brands; and green tea under the NOGU brand. The company was formerly known as PT Sari Guna and changed its name to PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk in December 1988. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sidoarjo, Indonesia. PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk operates as a asubsidiary of PT Tancorp Global Abadi.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, reported revenue of 2.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was 382B IDR in FY2025, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8T IDR
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+22.3%
Revenue +26.5%/yr
FY21 1.1T IDR
FY22 1.4T IDR
FY23 2.1T IDR
FY24 2.7T IDR
FY25 2.8T IDR
Net income +20.6%/yr
FY21 181B IDR
FY22 192B IDR
FY23 306B IDR
FY24 465B IDR
FY25 382B IDR

CLEO screens 26% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLEO

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Above median
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 79 · sector 46
PAST 70 · sector 49
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, (CLEO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 283.98 IDR versus a price of 386.00 IDR, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLEO?
Our model-based fair value for PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, is 283.98 IDR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 386.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of CLEO?
PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, (CLEO)?
PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLEO?
The net profit margin of PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk, is about 13.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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